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KIDSOrthoPediatrics Corp.Sell5.3·$19.76-0.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OrthoPediatrics has beaten earnings in all of the last 4 quarters and shows a technical breakout on a golden cross, but quality sits below the engine's floor due to cash burn and a failed Rule of 40 test, and the asymmetry gate failed, keeping position sizing at avoid.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below FloorStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Technical Breakout SetupStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.76: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

OrthoPediatrics designs, develops and markets orthopedic implants, instruments and specialized braces built specifically for children, selling to hospitals across the United States and more than 75 international markets through independent sales agencies, distributors and direct... Read more

$19.76+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#47 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.13%
Stop $18.38Target $21.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$24.67+24.8%9 analysts
$21.46our TP
$19.76price
$24.67mean
$17
$34

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.76: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About OrthoPediatrics Corp.

About OrthoPediatrics Corp.

OrthoPediatrics generated $236.3 million in revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $204.7 million in 2024 and $148.7 million in 2023, marketing 87 surgical implant and bracing systems across trauma and deformity correction, scoliosis, and sports medicine — the three largest categories of the pediatric orthopedic market. The company sells to hospitals in the United States and more than 75 international countries, targeting a segment it estimates represents a $6.2 billion global opportunity, including $2.8 billion domestically.

The company sells through a hybrid channel of direct sales representatives, more than 30 independent U.S. sales agencies and over 80 international stocking distributors; sales agencies alone generated 56% of global revenue in fiscal 2025, down slightly from 59% in 2024. Implants and surgical instrumentation are produced under a contract manufacturing model, while orthotic and prosthetic bracing products are manufactured in-house, including through the 2024-acquired Boston Brace International subsidiary, which has continued acquiring O&P clinics in states including Virginia, Maryland, Florida, Colorado, North Carolina and New York through 2025. OrthoPediatrics also licenses third-party technology, including an extended distribution agreement for FIREFLY Technology running through 2030 and a 7D Surgical FLASH Navigation license extended through 2028, supplementing organic product development with in-licensed surgical navigation tools.

Show full overview

OrthoPediatrics' products remain subject to Humanitarian Device Exemption requirements and Institutional Review Board oversight, a regulatory pathway built for devices treating small patient populations — a fitting description for a market where the Pediatric Orthopaedic Society of North America counted roughly 1,500 members in 2025 versus approximately 33,400 U.S. surgeons focused on adults. The 10-K also flags dependency on its distribution network: the company's independent sales agencies and distributors, rather than direct hires, generated the majority of revenue, and losing that network could impair its ability to reach hospitals.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-30.1
Mkt Cap$525M
EV/EBITDA-127.9
Profit Mgn-16.3%
ROE-11.6%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -16.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.8
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueRule of 40: 11 (fail)
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.64Resistance $21.40

Price Targets

$18
$21
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KIDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.76: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $18.38. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KIDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.46 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $18.38. Stop-loss: $18.38.

What are the risks of investing in KIDS?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is KIDS overvalued or undervalued?

OrthoPediatrics Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -30.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KIDS?

15 analysts cover KIDS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does OrthoPediatrics Corp. do?OrthoPediatrics designs, develops and markets orthopedic implants, instruments and specialized braces built...

OrthoPediatrics designs, develops and markets orthopedic implants, instruments and specialized braces built specifically for children, selling to hospitals across the United States and more than 75 international markets through independent sales agencies, distributors and direct sales representatives. The company generated $236.3 million in revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $204.7 million in 2024, using contract manufacturers for implants and in-house production for its orthotic and prosthetic bracing lines.

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