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DCTHDelcath Systems, Inc.Hold6.5·$13.10+1.47%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Delcath Systems shows a confirmed technical breakout backed by a strong earnings-beat streak and excellent cash conversion, but light analyst coverage, high short interest, and proximity to its 52-week high leave the setup mixed.

Thesis pillars

  • Breakout Momentum Golden CrossStable
  • Strong Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Delcath Systems, Inc. (DCTH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: HEPZATO; Concentration risk — Supplier: melphalan supplier.

Delcath Systems is an interventional oncology company commercializing HEPZATO KIT, an FDA-approved liver-directed melphalan/device combination for adult uveal melanoma patients with hepatic metastases, and its European device-only counterpart, CHEMOSAT. The company posted a net... Read more

$13.10+40.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.31%
Stop $12.28Target $18.58(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$21.35+63.0%5 analysts
$18.58our TP
$13.10price
$21.35mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: HEPZATO; Concentration risk — Supplier: melphalan supplier. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Delcath Systems, Inc.

About Delcath Systems, Inc.

Delcath Systems' lead product, HEPZATO KIT, won FDA approval in August 2023 as a liver-directed treatment for adult uveal melanoma patients with unresectable hepatic metastases, with first commercial use in January 2024, and the company posted a net gain of approximately $2.7 million in 2025 after a $26.4 million net loss in 2024. In Europe, the same hepatic delivery system sells as the CHEMOSAT device, which received Medical Device Regulation certification in February 2022. The company held $43.5 million in cash and equivalents and $47.6 million in short-term investments as of December 31, 2025, and operates as a single reporting segment.

Delcath earns revenue from HEPZATO sales to U.S. cancer centers that complete Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy training, and from CHEMOSAT device sales in Europe, where physicians separately source melphalan for use with the device. The company manufactures its proprietary filter media and assembles and packages both products at its Queensbury, New York facility, with European finishing, assembly, and distribution handled from its Galway, Ireland headquarters. Melphalan, the chemotherapeutic drug at the core of both products, is sourced under an agreement with a single contracted supplier, while three approved melphalan manufacturers currently serve the European Union market. Delcath is also running Phase 2 trials combining HEPZATO with standard-of-care regimens in metastatic colorectal cancer and metastatic breast cancer, with primary hepatic progression-free survival readouts expected in 2027 and 2028, respectively.

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Delcath's commercial supply chain concentrates on a single counterparty: the 10-K states that the company currently has an agreement with one supplier of melphalan and is in discussions with other abbreviated NDA holders to reduce the risk of a supply interruption. Because HEPZATO and CHEMOSAT cannot be manufactured or sold without a continuous melphalan supply, and FDA inspections of that supplier for products made for other customers could shut down or delay its ability to deliver components, a single adverse regulatory finding at that one facility -- rather than any change in HEPZATO's clinical profile -- could halt commercial sales of both products simultaneously.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Delcath Systems, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: HEPZATO
Concentration risk — Supplier: melphalan supplier
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1320.0
P/E (Fwd)-25.9
Mkt Cap$456M
EV/EBITDA-277.8
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE0.6%
Rev Growth26.3%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$5-61.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductHEPZATO
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ability to become and remain profitable is heavily dependent on our ability to generate substantial revenue from HEPZATO for the treatment of mUM.'
  • HIGHSuppliermelphalan supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently have an agreement with one supplier of melphalan'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 13, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders approved an amendment to the 2020 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan increasing available shares by 1,800,000. Routine plan amendment; no departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.7
52w Position
5.2
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.35Resistance $13.23

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+41.8%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts13
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$21

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DCTH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: HEPZATO; Concentration risk — Supplier: melphalan supplier. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $18.58 (+41.8%), stop $12.28 (−6.7%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DCTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.58 (+40.8% upside). Target $18.58 (+41.8%), stop $12.28 (−6.7%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $12.28.

What are the risks of investing in DCTH?

Concentration risk — Product: HEPZATO; Concentration risk — Supplier: melphalan supplier; Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

Is DCTH overvalued or undervalued?

Delcath Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 1320.0 (forward -25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DCTH?

13 analysts cover DCTH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Delcath Systems, Inc. do?Delcath Systems is an interventional oncology company commercializing HEPZATO KIT, an FDA-approved liver-directed...

Delcath Systems is an interventional oncology company commercializing HEPZATO KIT, an FDA-approved liver-directed melphalan/device combination for adult uveal melanoma patients with hepatic metastases, and its European device-only counterpart, CHEMOSAT. The company posted a net gain of approximately $2.7 million in 2025 after a $26.4 million net loss in 2024, and depends on a single contracted supplier for melphalan, the chemotherapeutic drug core to both products.

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