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KIDSOrthoPediatrics Corp.Sell5.5·$30.80
SellModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Gaap Loss But Fcf Positive→Stable
  • Accelerating Revenue Growth↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

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OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.80: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

OrthoPediatrics designs, develops and markets orthopedic implants, instruments and specialized braces built specifically for children, selling to hospitals across the United States and more than 75 international markets through independent sales agencies, distributors and direct... Read more

$30.80-14.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#34 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.40%
Stop $28.64Analyst target $26.32(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$30.25-1.8%8 analysts
$30.80price
$30.25mean
$27
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.80: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 119d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About OrthoPediatrics Corp.

About OrthoPediatrics Corp.

OrthoPediatrics generated $236.3 million in revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $204.7 million in 2024 and $148.7 million in 2023, marketing 87 surgical implant and bracing systems across trauma and deformity correction, scoliosis, and sports medicine — the three largest categories of the pediatric orthopedic market. The company sells to hospitals in the United States and more than 75 international countries, targeting a segment it estimates represents a $6.2 billion global opportunity, including $2.8 billion domestically.

The company sells through a hybrid channel of direct sales representatives, more than 30 independent U.S. sales agencies and over 80 international stocking distributors; sales agencies alone generated 56% of global revenue in fiscal 2025, down slightly from 59% in 2024. Implants and surgical instrumentation are produced under a contract manufacturing model, while orthotic and prosthetic bracing products are manufactured in-house, including through the 2024-acquired Boston Brace International subsidiary, which has continued acquiring O&P clinics in states including Virginia, Maryland, Florida, Colorado, North Carolina and New York through 2025. OrthoPediatrics also licenses third-party technology, including an extended distribution agreement for FIREFLY Technology running through 2030 and a 7D Surgical FLASH Navigation license extended through 2028, supplementing organic product development with in-licensed surgical navigation tools.

Show full overview

OrthoPediatrics' products remain subject to Humanitarian Device Exemption requirements and Institutional Review Board oversight, a regulatory pathway built for devices treating small patient populations — a fitting description for a market where the Pediatric Orthopaedic Society of North America counted roughly 1,500 members in 2025 versus approximately 33,400 U.S. surgeons focused on adults. The 10-K also flags dependency on its distribution network: the company's independent sales agencies and distributors, rather than direct hires, generated the majority of revenue, and losing that network could impair its ability to reach hospitals.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027119d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(3) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-14.6% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-40.8
Mkt Cap$804M
EV/EBITDA-1544.4
Profit Mgn-15.7%
ROE-11.4%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV40%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
4.0
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEINSIDER 5.81%=EXTREMEMomentum 8.8>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 119d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
86 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.26Resistance $31.51

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (119d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KIDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.80: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.64. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KIDS stock price target?

Analyst target $26.32 reached (−14.6% from $30.80); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $28.64. Stop-loss: $28.64.

What are the risks of investing in KIDS?

Target reached (-14.6% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is KIDS overvalued or undervalued?

OrthoPediatrics Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -40.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KIDS?

15 analysts cover KIDS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $30.

What does OrthoPediatrics Corp. do?OrthoPediatrics designs, develops and markets orthopedic implants, instruments and specialized braces built...

OrthoPediatrics designs, develops and markets orthopedic implants, instruments and specialized braces built specifically for children, selling to hospitals across the United States and more than 75 international markets through independent sales agencies, distributors and direct sales representatives. The company generated $236.3 million in revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $204.7 million in 2024, using contract manufacturers for implants and in-house production for its orthotic and prosthetic bracing lines.

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