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HELEHelen of Troy LimitedSell5.5·$25.68-8.42%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Helen of Troy screens deeply cheap and shows constructive technical momentum, but business quality has fallen below the minimum acceptable floor and the risk/reward setup is unfavorable with an earnings report just days away.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Technical MomentumStable
  • Negative Risk Reward At TargetStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.68: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality.

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on... Read more

$25.68+19.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield24.25%
Stop $24.38Target $30.07(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$29.33+14.2%3 analysts
$30.07our TP
$25.68price
$29.33mean
$23
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.68: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Helen of Troy Limited

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-08T23:03:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 8, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$641M
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn-50.3%
ROE-72.5%
Rev Growth-3.3%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
7.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -50.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.8
Operating Margin
2.7
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
5.1
Fcf Quality
5.7
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 9%, FCF yield 24.3%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.13Resistance $30.68

Price Targets

$24
$30
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-08 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HELE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.68: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.38. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HELE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.07 (+19.4% upside). Prior stop was $24.38. Stop-loss: $24.38.

What are the risks of investing in HELE?

Target reached (-1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is HELE overvalued or undervalued?

Helen of Troy Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HELE?

10 analysts cover HELE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Helen of Troy Limited do?Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro...

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on unaffiliated Asian manufacturers for roughly 83% of finished goods purchased in fiscal 2026, and its top five customers, led by Amazon (20%), Walmart (13%) and Target (12%), accounted for approximately 50% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: IPAR (Interparfums, Inc.) · SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · COTY (Coty Inc.) · MAGN (Magnera Corporation)
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