GFL's free cash flow conversion at just 16% of net income, a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, and quality below the minimum threshold collectively render the setup unattractive despite a wide gap to analyst price targets.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↑Improving
- Free Cash Flow Quality Red Flag→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.37: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality.
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.37: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin
Latest news
- NEWS GFL Environmental Raises FY2026 Sales Guidance from $5.337B-$5.352B to $5.425B-$5.439B vs $5.410B Est — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS GFL Environmental Q2 Adj. EPS $0.14 Misses $0.16 Estimate, Sales $1.407B Beat $1.400B Estimate — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Watching GFL Environmental; Traders Circulate Unconfirmed M&A Blog Comments Saying Sales Process Has Advanced In A Very — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on GFL Environmental, Raises Price Target to $41 — benzinga Jul 16, 2026 negative
- NEWS 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Tuesday's Pre-Market Session — benzinga Jul 14, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T07:18:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.37: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $39.09. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.57 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $39.09. Stop-loss: $39.09.
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of 108.8 (forward 43.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover GFL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $50.
What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.