Skip to main content
FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustHold6.1·$124.87-0.77%
Open full analysis

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away).

Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) located primarily in major coastal markets. Revenue comes primarily from lease agreements; the portfolio was 96.1% leased at December 31, 2025.... Read more

$124.87+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.10%
IncomeYield3.59%(5y avg 4.13%)Payout77.82%
Entry $115.37(50-day MA)Stop $111.53Target $123.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$125.78+0.7%19 analysts
$123.88our TP
$124.87price
$125.78mean
$116
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $124.93 has reached target $123.88. No upside to wait for. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)40.5
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA19.3
Profit Mgn38.6%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.94
Dividend3.59%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicmajor coastal markets
    10-K Item 1: 'These properties are located primarily in major coastal markets and select underserved markets that we believe have strong economic and demographic fundamentals.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Federal Realty OP LP terminated its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 14, 2026, replacing it with a new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo as Administrative Agent. No reason for termination cited beyond routine refinancing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.6
P Ocf
6.3
P/OCF: 17.4x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVE8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $113.75Resistance $126.41

Price Targets

$112
$115
$124
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $124.93 has reached target $123.88. No upside to wait for. Target $123.88 (-0.8%), stop $111.53 (−12.0%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.88 (+7.4% upside). Target $123.88 (-0.8%), stop $111.53 (−12.0%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $111.53.

What are the risks of investing in FRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is FRT overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Realty Investment Trust trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 40.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRT?

24 analysts cover FRT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $126.

What does Federal Realty Investment Trust do?Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M...

Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) located primarily in major coastal markets. Revenue comes primarily from lease agreements; the portfolio was 96.1% leased at December 31, 2025. FRT has paid quarterly dividends for 58 consecutive years.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · SKT (Tanger Inc.)
Home Stocks FRT

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com6d ago
The Globe and Mail7d ago
Biometric Update4d agoLegal
MSN5d ago
GuruFocus7d ago
MSN4d ago
MarketWatch10d ago
Investing.com10d ago
Yahoo Finance10d ago
Citybiz11d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga15d agoAnalyst
Benzinga15d ago
Benzinga17d agoAnalyst
Benzinga19d agoAnalyst
Benzinga20d ago
Benzinga21d agoAnalyst
Benzinga28d ago
Benzinga28d agoAnalyst
Benzinga32d agoAnalyst
Loading more...