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FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustHold6.1·$124.47+1.94%
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Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.7% away).

Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) located primarily in major coastal markets. Revenue comes primarily from lease agreements; the portfolio was 96.1% leased at December 31, 2025.... Read more

$124.47-1.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.23%
IncomeYield3.70%(5y avg 4.13%)Payout77.82%
Stop $120.57Target $122.20(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$125.78+1.0%19 analysts
$122.20our TP
$124.47price
$125.78mean
$116
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.7% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)39.4
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn38.6%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.94
Dividend3.70%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicmajor coastal markets
    10-K Item 1: 'These properties are located primarily in major coastal markets and select underserved markets that we believe have strong economic and demographic fundamentals.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Federal Realty OP LP terminated its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 14, 2026, replacing it with a new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo as Administrative Agent. No reason for termination cited beyond routine refinancing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
0.4
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVE8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $112.67Resistance $124.69

Price Targets

$121
$122
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $122.20 (-1.8%), stop $120.57 (−3.2%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $122.20 (-1.8% upside). Target $122.20 (-1.8%), stop $120.57 (−3.2%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $120.57.

What are the risks of investing in FRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.7% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is FRT overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Realty Investment Trust trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 39.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRT?

24 analysts cover FRT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $126.

What does Federal Realty Investment Trust do?Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M...

Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) located primarily in major coastal markets. Revenue comes primarily from lease agreements; the portfolio was 96.1% leased at December 31, 2025. FRT has paid quarterly dividends for 58 consecutive years.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · SPG (Simon Property Group, Inc.) · SKT (Tanger Inc.) · BRX (Brixmor Property Group Inc.)
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