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Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.8% away).

Federal Realty Investment Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) in major coastal U.S. markets, 96.1% leased as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from lease agreements; FRT has paid and increased... Read more

$113.88-1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $110.53Target $112.29(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$116.05+1.9%19 analysts
$112.29our TP
$113.88price
$116.05mean
$103
$133

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.80, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.8% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)34.9
Mkt Cap$9.6B
EV/EBITDA18.3
Profit Mgn32.1%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.99
Dividend4.05%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C11.20bearish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicgeographically concentrated markets
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have properties that are geographically concentrated, and adverse economic or real estate market declines in these areas could have a material adverse effect on us.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On April 14, 2026, Federal Realty OP LP terminated its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (dated October 5, 2022) upon entering a new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing an updated revolving credit facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $105.82Resistance $114.58

Price Targets

$111
$112
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $110.53. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $112.29 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $110.53. Stop-loss: $110.53.

What are the risks of investing in FRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is FRT overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Realty Investment Trust trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 34.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FRT?

24 analysts cover FRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Federal Realty Investment Trust do?Federal Realty Investment Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties...

Federal Realty Investment Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) in major coastal U.S. markets, 96.1% leased as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from lease agreements; FRT has paid and increased dividends for 58 consecutive years.

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