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FIVNFive9, Inc.Sell5.3·$32.65+1.08%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion at 475% of net income and a PEG ratio of 0.18 signal deep fundamental value in a consistently executing business, but a confirmed death cross, falling volume accumulation, and a 12% short interest create material near-term technical risk that argues for patience despite the 21% upside to analyst targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low MultipleImproving
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Five9, Inc. (FIVN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through... Read more

$32.65-9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#79 of 106 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.64%
Stop $30.46Target $33.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$33.00+1.1%20 analysts
$33.89our TP
$32.65price
$33.00mean
$24
$50

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.5
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.91bearish
IV61%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP of Product Engineering Panos Kozanian will transition out effective June 29, 2026, continuing to serve through at least September 4, 2026 reporting to a new CTO to be named by end of Q2 2026; eligible for Tier 3 severance absent for-cause termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
5.2
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.51Resistance $34.58

Price Targets

$30
$34
A.Upside-9.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.46. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.89 (-9.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.46. Stop-loss: $30.46.

What are the risks of investing in FIVN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is FIVN overvalued or undervalued?

Five9, Inc. trades at a P/E of 47.5 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIVN?

27 analysts cover FIVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Five9, Inc. do?Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than...

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through subscription licensing plus usage-based telephony and consumption-based AI solution fees, with a 105% Annual Dollar-Based Retention Rate reflecting expansion within its existing customer base.

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