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FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.Sell6.7·$29.13-1.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This life insurer trades at a remarkably low 5.6x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.17 against 31% revenue growth and 216% free cash flow conversion, placing it among the most attractively valued growth franchises in the sector; however, the two most recent quarters both missed estimates, short interest is elevated at 13%, and the stock has already reached its analyst price target, making the bull case contingent on re-establishing earnings delivery.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Against Strong GrowthStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthImproving
  • Exceptional Free Cash ConversionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. (FG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Earnings in 6 days (2026-08-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.13 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$29.13-21.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 16 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield29.54%
Stop $27.09Target $32.79(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$27.00-7.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.13 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA4.2
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth30.7%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductFIAs46%
    10-K Item 1: 'FIAs generated approximately 46% of our gross sales'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five states (CA, FL, PA, TX, NJ)40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five states for the distribution of our products were California, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas and New Jersey, which together accounted for 40% of our premiums'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyAspida Re
    10-K Item 1A: 'Aspida Re, Wilton Re, Somerset and Everlake represent our largest third-party reinsurance counterparty exposures'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
4.1
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.35Resistance $33.46

Price Targets

$27
$33
A.Upside-21.2%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.13 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $27.09. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.79 (-21.2% upside). Prior stop was $27.09. Stop-loss: $27.09.

What are the risks of investing in FG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is FG overvalued or undervalued?

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FG?

10 analysts cover FG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. do?F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed...

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from spread-based earnings on $57.6 billion in AUM and growing fee-based income from flow reinsurance and owned distribution. FGL Insurance's estimated RBC ratio was approximately 430% at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: ABX (Abacus Global Management, Inc.) · PUK (Prudential Public Limited Compa) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · GL (Globe Life Inc.)
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