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BHFBrighthouse Financial, Inc.Sell4.0·$62.78+0.38%
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Brighthouse Financial, Inc. (BHF) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.78: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with 2.0M+ contracts/policies and $206B in AUM at December 31, 2025, organized into Annuities, Life, Run-off, and Corporate & Other segments. Revenue is driven by fees on variable annuity... Read more

$62.78-1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#15 of 15 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-14.59%
Stop $61.66Target $61.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$65.00+3.5%6 analysts
$61.89our TP
$62.78price
$65.00mean
$55
$70

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.78: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brighthouse Financial, Inc.

About Brighthouse Financial, Inc.

Brighthouse Financial managed $206,157 million in total assets under management at December 31, 2025, with the Annuities segment comprising $152,745 million and the Life segment $15,821 million. The company serves over 2.0 million annuity contracts and insurance policies in force, operating through Brighthouse Life Insurance Company, Brighthouse Life Insurance Company of NY, and New England Life Insurance Company. Substantially all premiums and policy fees originate in the U.S., delivered through independent distribution networks.

Brighthouse Financial earns revenue through mortality and expense fees, living and death benefit rider fees, investment management fees from Brighthouse Investment Advisers LLC, and spread income on general account assets. Shield Level Annuities generated $8,008 million in deposits in 2025, up from $6,857 million in 2023, with $35,621 million in liabilities outstanding at year-end 2025. The legacy variable annuity block carries $79,321 million in account value, of which approximately 75% includes guaranteed minimum living benefit riders—predominantly guaranteed minimum income benefits ($39,787 million account value) and guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits ($19,094 million). In the third quarter of 2025, the company completed an initiative establishing standalone hedging programs separating Shield Annuity risk management from the variable annuity program. The Run-off segment holds $26,900 million in AUM tied to universal life secondary guarantee products sensitive to long-duration U.S. interest rate movements.

Show full overview

On November 6, 2025, Brighthouse Financial entered into a Merger Agreement under which Aquarian Parent plans to acquire BHF as a wholly-owned subsidiary; stockholder approval was obtained on February 12, 2026. Regulatory approvals from insurance regulators in Delaware, New York, and Massachusetts, as well as FINRA Rule 1017 approval for the change in control of Brighthouse Securities LLC, remain outstanding conditions to closing. A termination fee of approximately $144 million would be owed under certain circumstances if the Merger is not completed. In July 2025, S&P revised BHF's long-term issuer credit ratings to BBB from BBB+ and revised certain insurance subsidiary financial strength ratings to A from A+, with additional rating agency actions following the Merger announcement.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Life

From Brighthouse Financial, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Brighthouse Financial, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-9.9% upside)
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)3.2
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-1.1%
ROE-1.1%
Rev Growth-36.2%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$70+11.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -36.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -36%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.1
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -9% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
7.1
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.80Resistance $63.15

Price Targets

$62
$62
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.78: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $61.66. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.89 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $61.66. Stop-loss: $61.66.

What are the risks of investing in BHF?

Target reached (-9.9% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is BHF overvalued or undervalued?

Brighthouse Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BHF?

15 analysts cover BHF with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Brighthouse Financial, Inc. do?Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with 2.0M+ contracts/policies and...

Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with 2.0M+ contracts/policies and $206B in AUM at December 31, 2025, organized into Annuities, Life, Run-off, and Corporate & Other segments. Revenue is driven by fees on variable annuity account values and Shield Annuity deposits ($8.7B in 2025); a merger with Aquarian Parent is pending (stockholder-approved February 2026).

Related stocks: FG (F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.) · PUK (Prudential Public Limited Compa) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · GL (Globe Life Inc.)
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