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Brighthouse Financial, Inc. (BHF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.57: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with $206B in AUM and over 2 million policies in force. Revenue comes from fees on variable annuities, Shield Annuities, and life products; substantially all revenues originate in the U.S. A... Read more

$62.57-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 15 Insurance - Life
Stop $61.47Target $61.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$65.00+3.9%6 analysts
$61.38our TP
$62.57price
$65.00mean
$55
$70

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.57: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-9.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)3.2
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth-31.6%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$25-60.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 6 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Roe
2.5
Current Ratio
2.7
Gross Margin
2.8
Net Margin
3.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
8.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -140% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.9
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.06Resistance $62.63

Price Targets

$61
$61
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.57: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $61.47. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.38 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $61.47. Stop-loss: $61.47.

What are the risks of investing in BHF?

Target reached (-9.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is BHF overvalued or undervalued?

Brighthouse Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 3.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BHF?

15 analysts cover BHF with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Brighthouse Financial, Inc. do?Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with $206B in AUM and over 2...

Brighthouse Financial is one of the largest U.S. annuity and life insurance providers with $206B in AUM and over 2 million policies in force. Revenue comes from fees on variable annuities, Shield Annuities, and life products; substantially all revenues originate in the U.S. A pending acquisition by Aquarian Parent is expected to close in 2026.

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