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FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.Sell5.6·$20.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This life insurer trades at a remarkably low 5.6x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.17 against 31% revenue growth and 216% free cash flow conversion, placing it among the most attractively valued growth franchises in the sector; however, the two most recent quarters both missed estimates, short interest is elevated at 13%, and the stock has already reached its analyst price target, making the bull case contingent on re-establishing earnings delivery.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Against Strong Growth→Stable
  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. (FG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$20.60-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#13 of 16 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield84.11%
IncomeYield4.85%Payout32.01%sustainable
Stop $19.28Analyst target $20.40(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$24.00+16.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 43%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.8
P/E (Fwd)4.4
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA3.1
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.26
Dividend4.85%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductFIAs46%
    10-K Item 1: 'FIAs generated approximately 46% of our gross sales'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five states (CA, FL, PA, TX, NJ)40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five states for the distribution of our products were California, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas and New Jersey, which together accounted for 40% of our premiums'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyAspida Re
    10-K Item 1A: 'Aspida Re, Wilton Re, Somerset and Everlake represent our largest third-party reinsurance counterparty exposures'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 7 daysDividend aristocrat: 4.8% yield

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.7
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.1
Bollinger
4.2
Support Resistance
5.3
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.75Resistance $22.69

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.0% upside)
! News modifier -2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $19.28. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FG stock price target?

Analyst target $20.40 reached (−1.0% from $20.60); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $19.28. Stop-loss: $19.28.

What are the risks of investing in FG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is FG overvalued or undervalued?

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.8 (forward 4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FG?

10 analysts cover FG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $24.

What does F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. do?F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed...

F&G Annuities & Life underwrites fixed indexed annuities, registered index-linked annuities, multi-year guaranteed annuities, indexed universal life, and pension risk transfer, serving 778,000 policyholders and 145,000 pension participants at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from spread-based earnings on $57.6 billion in AUM and growing fee-based income from flow reinsurance and owned distribution. FGL Insurance's estimated RBC ratio was approximately 430% at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · BHF (Brighthouse Financial, Inc.) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · ABX (Abacus Global Management, Inc.) · JXN (Jackson Financial Inc.)
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