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Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Lincoln National Corporation is an Indiana-based insurance and retirement holding company operating through four segments: Annuities, Life Insurance, Group Protection, and Retirement Plan Services. It sells wealth accumulation, protection, and retirement income products through... Read more

$37.69+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 15 Insurance - Life
Stop $35.73Target $37.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$42.58+13.0%12 analysts
$37.71our TP
$37.69price
$42.58mean
$34
$56

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.5
P/E (Fwd)4.5
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA-24.7
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth-3.1%
Beta1.22
Dividend4.76%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$18-53.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Brian Kroll, Executive Vice President and Head of Retail Life and Annuity Solutions, notified intent to retire effective June 1, 2026. Described as part of a planned succession for the Retail Life and Annuities businesses.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.7
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
6.5
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.77Resistance $38.48

Price Targets

$36
$38
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LNC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $37.71 (+0.1%), stop $35.73 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.71 (+0.1% upside). Target $37.71 (+0.1%), stop $35.73 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $35.73.

What are the risks of investing in LNC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is LNC overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln National Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LNC?

19 analysts cover LNC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Lincoln National Corporation do?Lincoln National Corporation is an Indiana-based insurance and retirement holding company operating through four...

Lincoln National Corporation is an Indiana-based insurance and retirement holding company operating through four segments: Annuities, Life Insurance, Group Protection, and Retirement Plan Services. It sells wealth accumulation, protection, and retirement income products through approximately 450 wholesale distributors to financial intermediaries and employers.

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