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CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: seven largest reinsurers (99.0%).

CNO Financial Group develops and markets health insurance, annuities, and life insurance for middle-income pre-retiree and retired Americans under Bankers Life, Washington National, and Colonial Penn brands. Generated $4.5B revenue and held $38.8B total assets in 2025,... Read more

$44.25-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 15 Insurance - Life
Stop $42.69Target $44.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$46.00+4.0%4 analysts
$44.04our TP
$44.25price
$46.00mean
$43
$51

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: seven largest reinsurers (99.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: seven largest reinsurers (99.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta
Dividend1.53%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$35-20.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyseven largest reinsurers99%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our seven largest reinsurers, which are rated "A-" or higher by AM Best as of December 31, 2025, accounted for 97 percent of our ceded life insurance inforce and 99 percent of our reinsurance receivables.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOW
    Director Mary R. (Nina) Henderson informed Board she will retire at the 2026 annual meeting. Not based on any disagreement with the Company on any matter.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
4.3
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.90Resistance $44.94

Price Targets

$43
$44
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: seven largest reinsurers (99.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $42.69. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.04 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $42.69. Stop-loss: $42.69.

What are the risks of investing in CNO?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: seven largest reinsurers (99.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

Is CNO overvalued or undervalued?

CNO Financial Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNO?

10 analysts cover CNO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $46.

What does CNO Financial Group, Inc. do?CNO Financial Group develops and markets health insurance, annuities, and life insurance for middle-income pre-retiree...

CNO Financial Group develops and markets health insurance, annuities, and life insurance for middle-income pre-retiree and retired Americans under Bankers Life, Washington National, and Colonial Penn brands. Generated $4.5B revenue and held $38.8B total assets in 2025, distributed through exclusive agents, independent producers, and direct marketing.

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