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ETREntergy CorporationHold5.3·$107.70-0.08%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock has already reached and exceeded its near-term resistance target with deeply negative free cash flow, high leverage, and a high-severity regulatory concentration tied to a single nuclear facility — making the current entry point unattractive despite three beats in the last four quarters and rising on-balance volume.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Exceeds Target No UpsideStable
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash FlowStable
  • Single Asset Regulatory ConcentrationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Entergy Corporation (ETR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and... Read more

$107.70+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#22 of 42 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-7.78%
IncomeYield2.28%(5y avg 3.46%)Payout63.27%
Stop $104.48Target $111.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$124.31+15.4%21 analysts
$111.88our TP
$107.70price
$124.31mean
$91
$139

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.7
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$50.3B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.49
Dividend2.28%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicLouisiana
    10-K Item 1: 'Entergy Louisiana | Portions of Louisiana | | 1,115 | | | 36 |'
  • HIGHregulatorySystem Energy single nuclear facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'System Energy owns and, through an affiliate, operates a single nuclear generating facility, and it is dependent on sales to affiliated companies for all of its revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.2
Revenue Growth
5.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.8
Rsi
8.5
Uptrend pullback (RSI 30) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $107.71Resistance $116.93

Price Targets

$104
$112
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $111.88 (+3.9%), stop $104.48 (−3.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ETR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.88 (+3.6% upside). Target $111.88 (+3.9%), stop $104.48 (−3.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $104.48.

What are the risks of investing in ETR?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.

Is ETR overvalued or undervalued?

Entergy Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ETR?

30 analysts cover ETR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $124.

What does Entergy Corporation do?Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana,...

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and approximately 12,000 employees, the company earns returns through cost-of-service rates regulated by the FERC and state utility commissions.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
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