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ETREntergy CorporationBuy Wait4.8·$107.88
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock has already reached and exceeded its near-term resistance target with deeply negative free cash flow, high leverage, and a high-severity regulatory concentration tied to a single nuclear facility — making the current entry point unattractive despite three beats in the last four quarters and rising on-balance volume.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Exceeds Target No Upside→Stable
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Single Asset Regulatory Concentration→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Entergy Corporation (ETR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5ShortModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 3 days (2026-11-02). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $106.62. Price sits above the model's entry target of $106.62; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and... Read more

$107.88-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#29 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-8.54%
IncomeYield2.36%(5y avg 3.22%)Payout64.45%
Entry $106.62(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $103.26Analyst target $107.74(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$119.71+11.0%21 analysts
$107.88price
$119.71mean
$91
$131

Wait for pullback to $106.62. Price sits above the model's entry target of $106.62; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$51.5B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta0.45
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$155+43.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicLouisiana
    10-K Item 1: 'Entergy Louisiana | Portions of Louisiana | | 1,115 | | | 36 |'
  • HIGHregulatorySystem Energy single nuclear facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'System Energy owns and, through an affiliate, operates a single nuclear generating facility, and it is dependent on sales to affiliated companies for all of its revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
5.4
Growth Rank
6.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
8.3
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $97.89Resistance $108.92

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $106.62. Price sits above the model's entry target of $106.62; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $107.74 reached (−0.1%), stop $103.26 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ETR stock price target?

Analyst target $107.74 reached (−0.1% from $107.88); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $107.74 reached (−0.1%), stop $103.26 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $103.26.

What are the risks of investing in ETR?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is ETR overvalued or undervalued?

Entergy Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ETR?

28 analysts cover ETR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Entergy Corporation do?Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana,...

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and approximately 12,000 employees, the company earns returns through cost-of-service rates regulated by the FERC and state utility commissions.

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