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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Buy Wait6.7·$36.40+0.19%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty industrial machinery company carries strong underlying quality and an attractively growth-adjusted valuation, but the technical setup remains cautious — a confirmed long-term downtrend, an imminent earnings report, and high supplier concentration mean the current posture is maintenance, not accumulation.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration Operational RiskImproving
  • Quality And Growth Adjusted ValueDeteriorating
  • Momentum Recovery In ProgressImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Wait for pullback to $33.65. At $36.40 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $33.65 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with... Read more

$36.40+12.1% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.50%
Entry $33.65(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $31.67Target $40.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$48.00+31.9%2 analysts
$40.80our TP
$36.40price
$48.00mean
$50

Wait for pullback to $33.65. At $36.40 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $33.65 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 202676d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States37%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope28%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe'
  • LOWGeographicMiddle East13%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure certain components for our products from single or limited suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure a portion of our components from suppliers located in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
3.1
52w Position
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.81Resistance $38.00

Price Targets

$32
$34
$41
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $33.65. At $36.40 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $33.65 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $40.80 (+12.1%), stop $31.67 (−14.9%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.80 (+12.1% upside). Target $40.80 (+12.1%), stop $31.67 (−14.9%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $31.67.

What are the risks of investing in EPAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EPAC?

9 analysts cover EPAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Enerpac Tool Group Corp. do?Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than...

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with approximately 2,100 employees. The company single-sources certain components from its global supplier network.

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