Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. At $591.86, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas retail stores; Concentration risk — Customer: independent distributors (77.0%).
Cavco Industries designs and produces factory-built homes distributed through 92 Company-owned retail stores (57 in Texas) and an independent dealer network across 48 states and Canada, operating 33 homebuilding production lines (31 U.S., 2 in Mexico). Revenue comes from... Read more
Sell if holding. At $591.86, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas retail stores; Concentration risk — Customer: independent distributors (77.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Cavco Industries, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Cavco Industries Announces Building New Manufacturing Facility in El Mirage, Arizona - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Cavco Industries (CVCO) Earnings Preview: EPS Seen at $5.30 on Housing Demand - Meyka — Meyka positive
- NEWS CAVCO INDUSTRIES ($CVCO) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Factory-built home maker Cavco hits record sales, launches $150M buyback - Stock Titan — Stock Titan positive
- NEWS Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) Shares Surge 6.5% -- What GF Score o - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTexas retail stores10-K Item 1A: 'of the 92 Company-owned retail stores, 57 are located in Texas'
- HIGHCustomerindependent distributors77%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 77% of our sales of factory-built homes were to independent distributors'
- HIGHcounterpartysingle assumed reinsurance entity10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our assumed reinsurance is with one entity'
- MEDIUMloan_portfolioTexas, Florida, Oklahoma, New Mexico loan collateral10-K Item 1: 'Our loan contracts are secured by factory-built homes located in 27 states, with the largest concentrations in Texas, Florida, Oklahoma, and New Mexico'
- MEDIUMGeographicTexas, Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada insurance markets10-K Item 1A: 'Standard Casualty ... primarily serving the Texas, Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada markets'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $591.86, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas retail stores; Concentration risk — Customer: independent distributors (77.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $550.43. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $598.68 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $550.43. Stop-loss: $550.43.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas retail stores; Concentration risk — Customer: independent distributors (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Cavco Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover CVCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $625.
What does Cavco Industries, Inc. do?Cavco Industries designs and produces factory-built homes distributed through 92 Company-owned retail stores (57 in...
Cavco Industries designs and produces factory-built homes distributed through 92 Company-owned retail stores (57 in Texas) and an independent dealer network across 48 states and Canada, operating 33 homebuilding production lines (31 U.S., 2 in Mexico). Revenue comes from manufactured and modular home sales supplemented by consumer finance (CountryPlace) and property/casualty insurance (Standard Casualty) subsidiaries.