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CSWCSW Industrials, Inc.Sell5.9·$275.36+1.21%
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CSW Industrials, Inc. (CSW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $275.36 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

CSW Industrials manufactures niche products across three segments: Contractor Solutions (HVAC/R, plumbing, electrical), Specialized Reliability Solutions (specialty lubricants and sealants for mining, rail, and energy), and Engineered Building Solutions (fire/smoke protection,... Read more

$275.36+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#7 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.66%
IncomeYield0.41%(5y avg 0.41%)Payout16.12%sustainable
Stop $256.08Target $282.38(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$324.57+17.9%7 analysts
$282.38our TP
$275.36price
$324.57mean
$378

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $275.36 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CSW Industrials, Inc.

About CSW Industrials, Inc.

Three segments — Contractor Solutions, Specialized Reliability Solutions, and Engineered Building Solutions — position CSW Industrials across HVAC/R installation products, specialty industrial lubricants, and code-driven architectural fire/smoke protection. Manufacturing is concentrated in the United States, Vietnam, and Canada, with distribution in over 100 countries. The company invested nearly $1.2 billion in acquisitions across fiscal years 2024 through 2026, including MARS Parts ($658.1 million, November 2025) and Aspen Manufacturing ($327.6 million, May 2025).

CSW sells primarily through wholesale and full-service distribution networks. Contractor Solutions products — covering condensate management, evaporator coils, motors and capacitors, grilles, and maintenance chemicals under brands including RectorSeal, TRUaire, and MARS — serve HVAC/R contractors and plumbing wholesalers, with revenues that peak seasonally in spring and summer. Specialized Reliability Solutions' premium lubricants, anti-seize compounds, and desiccant breathers under brands such as Whitmore's Kopr-Kote and Jet-Lube command pricing above commodity alternatives, competing against Exxon-Mobil, Fuchs, Kluber, and Shell, with a long product sales cycle driven by verified performance proof. Engineered Building Solutions provides fire and smoke curtains, expansion joints, and perimeter protection under brands including Smoke Guard and Metacaulk to architects, general contractors, and building product distributors; in fiscal Q4 2026, the company committed to selling the Greco US business and exiting Greco Canada, recording a $15.6 million non-cash impairment.

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A material supply chain exposure the 10-K discloses is CSW's manufacturing presence in Vietnam and use of third-party manufacturers in China, both subject to country-specific reciprocal tariffs imposed since February 2025. The company responded by negotiating supplier cost reductions, transitioning certain sourcing, and raising prices across all three segments. In February 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated IEEPA-based tariffs, potentially allowing recovery of amounts previously paid; however, the 10-K notes that tariff refund timing and administration remain uncertain and may add operational complexity.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From CSW Industrials, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.7
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth34.0%
Beta0.84
Dividend0.41%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$200-27.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $253.93Resistance $304.96

Price Targets

$256
$282
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $275.36 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $256.08. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $282.38 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $256.08. Stop-loss: $256.08.

What are the risks of investing in CSW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CSW overvalued or undervalued?

CSW Industrials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.7 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSW?

11 analysts cover CSW with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $325.

What does CSW Industrials, Inc. do?CSW Industrials manufactures niche products across three segments: Contractor Solutions (HVAC/R, plumbing, electrical),...

CSW Industrials manufactures niche products across three segments: Contractor Solutions (HVAC/R, plumbing, electrical), Specialized Reliability Solutions (specialty lubricants and sealants for mining, rail, and energy), and Engineered Building Solutions (fire/smoke protection, architectural components). Products are sold through wholesale distribution networks in over 100 countries; no single customer exceeded 10% of fiscal 2026 net revenues. The company invested nearly $1.2 billion in acquisitions across fiscal years 2024-2026.

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