Value
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.0 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.21
CSW · Why this verdict
Why CSW Industrials (CSW) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.5 |
| ROA | 4.2 |
| Gross margin | 4.4 |
| Op margin | 7.4 |
| Net margin | 5.2 |
| Current ratio | 8.8 |
| FCF quality | 2.1 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 26% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 34% YoY
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 1.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.7 |
| Price target | 7.8 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (7.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 21%
Insider
4.2/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.9 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $1,793,657 (0.041% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.0 |
| quality rank | 4.1 |
| growth rank | 9.6 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.5 |
| support resistance | 7.0 |
| 52w position | 5.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.4 |
| days to cover | 2.1 |
| volatility | 0.7 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 4.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.9 |
| debt equity | 5.7 |
- ▸Above max pain $200
Catalyst
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 42.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.60
Upside
+5.6%
Downside
9.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.3B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 10.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.60 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 6.6, and Technical at 6.1; the weakest are Momentum at 2.0, Peer rank at 4.2, and Insider at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.60 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.