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CXTCrane NXT, Co.Hold6.3·$42.47+3.56%
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Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Crane NXT provides proprietary technology for payment authentication and currency and product security through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI) and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT). The company sells to financial institutions, central banks, and... Read more

$42.47+36.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.92%
IncomeYield1.70%Payout30.94%sustainable
Stop $39.50Target $58.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$66.83+57.4%6 analysts
$58.14our TP
$42.47price
$66.83mean
$85

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Crane NXT, Co.

About Crane NXT, Co.

Crane NXT, Co. split its 2025 consolidated revenue evenly between domestic and international customers — non-U.S. sales by destination were exactly 50% of consolidated amounts — and employed approximately 4,800 people across 35 countries and six continents at December 31, 2025. The company was separated from Crane Holdings, Co. on April 3, 2023, and operates through two reporting segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI) focused on payment verification and automation, and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT) focused on banknote production, brand protection, and digital content authentication.

Crane NXT earns revenue through hardware sales, software licensing, field-service contracts, and remote diagnostics. CPI sells electronic equipment that verifies payment transactions for customers in gaming, retail, banking, and vending markets, with manufacturing in the United States, United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, and Germany. SAT serves central banks with banknote design and production and serves consumer goods brands and financial institutions with physical product security and authentication solutions from facilities in the United States, United Kingdom, Sweden, and Malta. SAT revenue is subject to significant variability because contract awards by central banks — particularly the U.S. government — are large, irregular, and unpredictable in timing. Raw material inputs include steel, copper, electronic components, aluminum, cotton, and flax, purchased from multiple independent global sources.

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The company's supply chain includes single or sole-source suppliers for certain critical materials and components, a dependency the 10-K identifies as a distinct risk. If any such supplier encounters financial instability, capacity limitations, quality issues, or operational disruptions, Crane NXT may be unable to obtain alternatives on a timely basis or at comparable cost, exposing the company to production delays, cost increases, or inability to meet customer demand. This risk is compounded in the SAT segment by timing-driven variability in central bank procurement, where gaps between large contract awards could leave manufacturing capacity underutilized while input costs from constrained single-source suppliers remain fixed.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Crane NXT, Co.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source suppliers
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$70+64.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicNet sales outside the U.S.50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Net sales by destination outside the U.S. were 50% of our consolidated amounts in 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or sole-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on single or sole‑source suppliers for certain critical materials and components'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Jeffrey Benck as director effective March 9, 2026, for a term expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Compensation consistent with existing non-employee director program. No arrangements or related party transactions cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
2.4
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.70Resistance $42.98

Price Targets

$40
$58
A.Upside+36.9%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts11
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$67

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CXT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $58.14 (+36.9%), stop $39.50 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.14 (+36.9% upside). Target $58.14 (+36.9%), stop $39.50 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $39.50.

What are the risks of investing in CXT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CXT overvalued or undervalued?

Crane NXT, Co. trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CXT?

11 analysts cover CXT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Crane NXT, Co. do?Crane NXT provides proprietary technology for payment authentication and currency and product security through two...

Crane NXT provides proprietary technology for payment authentication and currency and product security through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI) and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT). The company sells to financial institutions, central banks, and commercial brands worldwide, with non-U.S. sales comprising 50% of 2025 consolidated revenue; it employed approximately 4,800 persons across 35 countries at December 31, 2025.

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