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CRICarter's, Inc.Sell5.7·$42.22-1.33%
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Carter's, Inc. (CRI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. The company's products include babies and young... Read more

$42.22+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.04%
IncomeYield2.34%(5y avg 4.35%)Payout40.16%sustainable
Stop $39.25Target $42.60(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$40.67-3.7%6 analysts
$42.60our TP
$42.22price
$40.67mean
$30
$53

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.87
Dividend2.34%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$60+42.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.88Resistance $43.47

Price Targets

$39
$43
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $39.25. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.60 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $39.25. Stop-loss: $39.25.

What are the risks of investing in CRI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is CRI overvalued or undervalued?

Carter's, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRI?

14 analysts cover CRI with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Carter's, Inc. do?Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United...

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. The company's products include babies and young children's products, such as bodysuits, layette essentials, sleep and play, pants, tops and t-shirts, multipiece sets, dresses, and sleepwear; and playclothes, such as denim jeans, overalls, core bottoms, knit tops, t-shirts, and layering pieces. It also provides products for playtime, travel, mealtime, bath time, and home gear, as well as kid's and diaper bags, as well as range of licensed sports and character t-shirts. In addition, the company offers sleepwear, swimwear, outerwear, bedding, accessories, and toys; and toddler apparel and accessories. It sells its products through its retail stores, websites, and mobile app, as well as its wholesale distribution; and distributes its products to wholesale customers, including department stores, national chains, and specialty retailers. The company markets its products under the Carter's, OshKosh B'gosh, Skip Hop, Child of Mine, Just One You, Simple Joys, Little Planet, Otter Avenue, and other brands. Carter's, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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