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ANFAbercrombie & Fitch CompanySell6.4·$161.24
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Abercrombie & Fitch combines an attractively priced forward multiple of 7.7x with a solid Piotroski score and three consecutive earnings beats, but the risk/reward at current prices is unfavorable, the stock is overbought near-term, and free cash flow covers only 57% of reported net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Inline Caveat→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Peer Relative→Stable
  • Free Cash Flow Quality Gap→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $161.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and... Read more

$161.24-10.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.37%
Stop $149.95Analyst target $144.26(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$165.82+2.8%11 analysts
$161.24price
$165.82mean
$134
$185

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $161.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE40.6%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$220+36.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam vendors37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia vendors26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVENEWS LEGALMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $133.02Resistance $167.09

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $161.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $149.95. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Analyst target $144.26 reached (−10.5% from $161.24); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $149.95. Stop-loss: $149.95.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANF?

20 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $166.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829...

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and 26% from Cambodia in Fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.) · REF (Reformation Inc.) · URBN (Urban Outfitters, Inc.) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.) · AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.)
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