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ANFAbercrombie & Fitch CompanyBuy Wait5.6·$109.01+3.80%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Abercrombie & Fitch combines an attractively priced forward multiple of 7.7x with a solid Piotroski score and three consecutive earnings beats, but the risk/reward at current prices is unfavorable, the stock is overbought near-term, and free cash flow covers only 57% of reported net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Inline CaveatStable
  • Attractive Valuation Peer RelativeDeteriorating
  • Free Cash Flow Quality GapStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $104.20. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $109.01. Engine's entry $104.20 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and... Read more

$109.01-2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 17 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.85%
Entry $104.20(1 ATR pullback)Stop $96.91Target $117.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$122.00+11.9%10 analysts
$117.52our TP
$109.01price
$122.00mean
$87
$153

Wait for pullback to $104.20. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $109.01. Engine's entry $104.20 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 32%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.1
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV97%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam vendors37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia vendors26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Earnings Growth
3.9
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $95.12Resistance $119.92

Price Targets

$97
$104
$118
A.Upside-2.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $104.20. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $109.01. Engine's entry $104.20 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $117.52 (+7.8%), stop $96.91 (−12.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.52 (-2.6% upside). Target $117.52 (+7.8%), stop $96.91 (−12.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $96.91.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ANF?

19 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $122.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829...

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and 26% from Cambodia in Fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: BKE (Buckle, Inc. (The)) · BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.) · GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.) · AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.)
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