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URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.Sell5.3·$71.88+0.81%
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Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.88 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to... Read more

$71.88+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#12 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.14%
Stop $66.85Target $72.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$83.17+15.7%12 analysts
$72.36our TP
$71.88price
$83.17mean
$67
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.88 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE18.7%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$45-37.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $64.73Resistance $77.49

Price Targets

$67
$72
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.7% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URBN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.88 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $66.85. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the URBN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.36 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $66.85. Stop-loss: $66.85.

What are the risks of investing in URBN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is URBN overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Outfitters, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about URBN?

20 analysts cover URBN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Urban Outfitters, Inc. do?We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including...

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to our Anthropologie, Terrain and Maeve brands and "Free People" refers to our Free People and FP Movement brands.

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