Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. At $170.52, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-day MA.
Boot Barn is the largest lifestyle retail chain for western and work-related footwear in the US with 459 stores in 49 states as of March 2025, targeting western enthusiasts and work-wear customers. Revenue comes from retail sales of boots, apparel, and accessories at... Read more
Sell if holding. At $170.52, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Texas10-K Item 1A: 'Our financial performance is also particularly susceptible to economic and other conditions in California, Texas and other states where we have a significant number of stores'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $170.52, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $158.40. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $206.31 (+21.1% upside). Prior stop was $158.40. Stop-loss: $158.40.
Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-day MA.
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover BOOT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $237.
What does Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. do?Boot Barn is the largest lifestyle retail chain for western and work-related footwear in the US with 459 stores in 49...
Boot Barn is the largest lifestyle retail chain for western and work-related footwear in the US with 459 stores in 49 states as of March 2025, targeting western enthusiasts and work-wear customers. Revenue comes from retail sales of boots, apparel, and accessories at brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce.