Cooper-Standard screens deeply cheap with a large modeled risk-reward asymmetry, but a badly failed momentum gate, a death-cross hard block, three of the last four quarters missing earnings, sub-floor quality, and an elevated put/call ratio keep conviction and position sizing at essentially zero.
Thesis pillars
- Persistent Earnings Misses→Stable
- Quality Below Investability Floor→Stable
- Deep Value With Asymmetric Upside→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.01: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Cooper-Standard Holdings is a global automotive supplier that manufactures sealing systems and fluid handling systems (fuel, brake, and fluid transfer) for passenger vehicles and light trucks, operating 108 facilities in 20 countries with approximately 22,000 employees. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.01: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
About Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.
About Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.
Cooper-Standard Holdings manufactures sealing systems and fluid handling systems for the global light vehicle market, which accounted for approximately 96% of 2025 sales, operating 108 facilities across 20 countries with roughly 22,000 employees, including 4,000 contingent workers. The company holds market-leading positions: largest global producer of sealing systems, second-largest in fuel and brake delivery products, and third-largest in fluid transfer systems, with products on more than 430 vehicle nameplates.
Cooper-Standard's largest customers are Ford, General Motors, Stellantis, Volkswagen Group, Mercedes-Benz, and Renault-Nissan, supplemented by BMW, Jaguar/Land Rover, Toyota, Hyundai, Honda, Rivian, and Chinese OEMs including BYD, Geely, and Chery; OEMs represented 86% of 2025 sales, with the remainder from Tier I/II suppliers, non-automotive customers, and the replacement market. Roughly 78% of 2025 sales were attributable to products manufactured outside the United States, reflecting the company's 65 manufacturing locations spread globally, including joint ventures in Thailand, India, China, and the U.S. that provide local market access and reduce capital investment. Principal raw materials, rubber, carbon black, process oils, and plastic resins, made up approximately 52% of cost of products sold in 2025, and the company uses index-based pricing agreements with customers, primarily for steel and rubber, to partially offset commodity volatility. Cooper Standard competes against Toyoda Gosei, Henniges, Hutchinson, and TI Automotive, among others, and invests roughly 2.9% of sales annually in engineering and R&D.
Show full overview
Cooper-Standard's own risk factors acknowledge that its top three customers, Ford, GM and Stellantis, represented approximately 56% of worldwide sales in 2025, and state plainly that the loss of a major customer, significant reduction in purchases, or any discontinuance or resourcing of a significant platform could adversely affect the business. That customer concentration compounds a geographic manufacturing footprint weighted heavily overseas, with 78% of 2025 sales tied to products made outside the United States, so a Detroit Three production slowdown, a platform loss, or a tariff-driven disruption to non-U.S. manufacturing could each move results more than a broadly diversified supplier would experience.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
From Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop-three customers (Ford, GM, Stellantis)56%10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our three largest customers, Ford, GM, and Stellantis, on a worldwide basis represented approximately 56% of our sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
- HIGHCustomerOEM sales channel86%10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 86% of our sales in 2025 were to OEMs.'
- HIGHGeographicproducts manufactured outside the United States78%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 78% of our sales were attributable to products manufactured outside the United States.'
- HIGHProductglobal light vehicle market96%10-K Item 1: 'This is our largest market and accounts for approximately 96% of our global sales.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.01: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $25.12. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $38.25 (+41.6% upside). Prior stop was $25.12. Stop-loss: $25.12.
Concentration risk — Customer: top-three customers (Ford, GM, Stellantis) (56.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: OEM sales channel (86.0%); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover CPS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.
What does Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. do?Cooper-Standard Holdings is a global automotive supplier that manufactures sealing systems and fluid handling systems...
Cooper-Standard Holdings is a global automotive supplier that manufactures sealing systems and fluid handling systems (fuel, brake, and fluid transfer) for passenger vehicles and light trucks, operating 108 facilities in 20 countries with approximately 22,000 employees. The company's three largest customers, Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, represented approximately 56% of 2025 sales, OEMs overall made up 86% of sales, and roughly 78% of sales came from products manufactured outside the United States.