Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $334.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).
Burlington Stores operates 1,212 off-price retail stores across 46 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, selling branded merchandise at up to 60% off department store prices. Revenue is generated entirely through in-store transactions, with over 99% of net sales from... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $334.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Burlington Stores, Inc.
About Burlington Stores, Inc.
Burlington Stores had 1,212 stores across 46 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico at the close of Fiscal 2025 — up from 1,108 the prior year after 113 net new openings. More than 99% of net sales are generated from company-operated brick-and-mortar locations, with no e-commerce channel; the company targets a long-term store count of 2,000. The store base spans 52.8 million gross square feet, supported by six distribution centers.
Burlington generates revenue exclusively through in-store merchandise transactions. The off-price model relies on opportunistic, close-to-need buying, with no vendor accounting for more than 5% of net purchases during Fiscal 2025 and no long-term purchase commitments held with any supplier. Product mix in Fiscal 2025 was: accessories and shoes 28%, ladies apparel 20%, home 20%, men's apparel 17%, kids and baby 12%, and outerwear 3%. The core customer demographic is 25-49 years old with household income of $25,000-$100,000. Competition includes department stores, specialty chains, mass merchants, and off-price peers; some traditional full-price retailers have developed off-price concepts that may directly compete, while growth in e-commerce spending may draw traffic away from physical stores.
Show full overview
Burlington leases substantially all of its store locations, with most leases structured as ten-year terms subject to multiple five-year renewal options. The company notes that if renewal terms prove commercially unacceptable, or suitable alternative sites cannot be identified, Burlington would generally be entitled to recover costs incurred upon cancellation but must continue paying rent for the balance of any non-terminated lease. With the company targeting 2,000 stores over the long term, the ability to secure favorable lease terms at scale is a material dependency on real estate market conditions outside its control.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
From Burlington Stores, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Burlington Stores, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Burlington (BURL) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS 3 reasons why Burlington Stores (BURL) is a great growth stock - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS 3 Reasons Why Burlington Stores (BURL) Is a Great Growth Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Burlington Stores climbs 7.1% as investors position ahead of earnings and upbeat full-year outlook - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Burlington Stores Target of Unusually High Options Trading (NYSE:BURL) - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $334.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $311.50. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $339.37 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $311.50. Stop-loss: $311.50.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5.
Burlington Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.9 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover BURL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $367.
What does Burlington Stores, Inc. do?Burlington Stores operates 1,212 off-price retail stores across 46 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, selling...
Burlington Stores operates 1,212 off-price retail stores across 46 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, selling branded merchandise at up to 60% off department store prices. Revenue is generated entirely through in-store transactions, with over 99% of net sales from company-operated stores. The company targets a long-term base of 2,000 units by opportunistically expanding into vacant retail space.