Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. At $314.00, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).
Burlington Stores is a national off-price retailer operating 1,212 stores across 46 states, Puerto Rico, and the US Virgin Islands, selling apparel, home goods, and accessories at discounts to comparable department store prices. The company sources merchandise opportunistically... Read more
Sell if holding. At $314.00, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Burlington Stores, Inc.
About Burlington Stores, Inc.
Burlington Stores had 1,212 stores across 46 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico at the close of Fiscal 2025 — up from 1,108 the prior year after 113 net new openings. More than 99% of net sales are generated from company-operated brick-and-mortar locations, with no e-commerce channel; the company targets a long-term store count of 2,000. The store base spans 52.8 million gross square feet, supported by six distribution centers.
Burlington generates revenue exclusively through in-store merchandise transactions. The off-price model relies on opportunistic, close-to-need buying, with no vendor accounting for more than 5% of net purchases during Fiscal 2025 and no long-term purchase commitments held with any supplier. Product mix in Fiscal 2025 was: accessories and shoes 28%, ladies apparel 20%, home 20%, men's apparel 17%, kids and baby 12%, and outerwear 3%. The core customer demographic is 25-49 years old with household income of $25,000-$100,000. Competition includes department stores, specialty chains, mass merchants, and off-price peers; some traditional full-price retailers have developed off-price concepts that may directly compete, while growth in e-commerce spending may draw traffic away from physical stores.
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Burlington leases substantially all of its store locations, with most leases structured as ten-year terms subject to multiple five-year renewal options. The company notes that if renewal terms prove commercially unacceptable, or suitable alternative sites cannot be identified, Burlington would generally be entitled to recover costs incurred upon cancellation but must continue paying rent for the balance of any non-terminated lease. With the company targeting 2,000 stores over the long term, the ability to secure favorable lease terms at scale is a material dependency on real estate market conditions outside its control.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
From Burlington Stores, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Burlington Stores, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Burlington (BURL) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS 3 reasons why Burlington Stores (BURL) is a great growth stock - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS 3 Reasons Why Burlington Stores (BURL) Is a Great Growth Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Burlington Stores climbs 7.1% as investors position ahead of earnings and upbeat full-year outlook - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Burlington Stores Target of Unusually High Options Trading (NYSE:BURL) - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
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Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $314.00, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $292.02. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $330.36 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $292.02. Stop-loss: $292.02.
Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Burlington Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.6 (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover BURL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $367.
What does Burlington Stores, Inc. do?Burlington Stores is a national off-price retailer operating 1,212 stores across 46 states, Puerto Rico, and the US...
Burlington Stores is a national off-price retailer operating 1,212 stores across 46 states, Puerto Rico, and the US Virgin Islands, selling apparel, home goods, and accessories at discounts to comparable department store prices. The company sources merchandise opportunistically from thousands of vendors.