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BAMBrookfield Asset Management IncSell5.6·$48.44+2.78%
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Brookfield Asset Management Inc (BAM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. At $48.44, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.6%.

Brookfield Asset Management manages over $1 trillion in AUM globally, with $603 billion in Fee-Bearing Capital at December 31, 2025, across infrastructure, renewable power, private equity, real estate, and credit. The company earns asset management fees and performance income... Read more

$48.44+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#47 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.88%
IncomeYield4.26%Payout116.35%at-risk
Stop $45.70Target $51.17(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$56.86+17.4%18 analysts
$51.17our TP
$48.44price
$56.86mean
$44
$69

Sell if holding. At $48.44, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brookfield Asset Management Inc

About Brookfield Asset Management Inc

Brookfield Asset Management managed over $1 trillion in AUM at December 31, 2025, with $603 billion in Fee-Bearing Capital spanning five principal strategies: credit at $363 billion (the largest), real estate at over $273 billion, infrastructure at $247 billion, private equity at $155 billion, and renewable power and transition at $143 billion. In 2025, the firm raised over $110 billion, including final closes on its second global transition fund and fifth real estate flagship fund, serving over 2,400 institutional clients from 32 global offices.

BAM earns revenue through base management fees on Fee-Bearing Capital and performance income — principally carried interest — when funds exceed return targets. Of the $603 billion in Fee-Bearing Capital, 87% is long-dated or perpetual in nature, providing stability to fee revenue; the company intends to distribute at least approximately 90% of Distributable Earnings quarterly and reinvest the remainder. The credit platform at $363 billion AUM operates through BAM's proprietary capabilities alongside minority-owned partner managers including Oaktree, Castlelake, Angel Oak, LCM, Primary Wave, and 17Capital. In 2025, BAM raised approximately $68 billion across more than a dozen credit strategies, including nearly $31.6 billion across the Oaktree franchise. Capital is sourced from over 2,400 institutional clients — pension plans, sovereign wealth funds, and insurance companies — and approximately 60,000 private wealth investors served by over 300 client service professionals.

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BAM's investment advisers are registered with the SEC under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, and broker-dealer entities are regulated by the SEC, FINRA, and Canadian provincial securities commissions. A specific fundraising risk identified in the filing: if a covered person in a Rule 506 offering were subject to a disqualifying event, the company would lose access to this primary capital-raising exemption — a scenario that could be materially adverse to operations. BAM is also subject to anti-bribery regimes across more than 50 countries, including the FCPA, U.K. Bribery Act 2010, and Brazil's Clean Companies Act.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Brookfield Asset Management Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.2
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$75.3B
EV/EBITDA25.2
Profit Mgn49.7%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth23.8%
Beta1.25
Dividend4.26%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$60+23.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.1
Bollinger
2.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.6
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.15Resistance $49.32

Price Targets

$46
$51
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BAM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $48.44, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $45.70. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.17 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $45.70. Stop-loss: $45.70.

What are the risks of investing in BAM?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BAM overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Asset Management Inc trades at a P/E of 30.2 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BAM?

22 analysts cover BAM with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Brookfield Asset Management Inc do?Brookfield Asset Management manages over $1 trillion in AUM globally, with $603 billion in Fee-Bearing Capital at...

Brookfield Asset Management manages over $1 trillion in AUM globally, with $603 billion in Fee-Bearing Capital at December 31, 2025, across infrastructure, renewable power, private equity, real estate, and credit. The company earns asset management fees and performance income from over 2,400 institutional clients and approximately 60,000 private wealth investors, distributing at least approximately 90% of Distributable Earnings quarterly.

Related stocks: BLK (BlackRock, Inc.) · AMP (Ameriprise Financial, Inc.) · AMG (Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.) · NTRS (Northern Trust Corporation) · SEIC (SEI Investments Company)
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