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AVPTAvePoint, Inc.Sell6.2·$10.79-0.69%
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AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.79: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Enterprise segment (52.0%).

AvePoint provides cloud data governance and protection through the AvePoint Confidence Platform, serving 28,000+ customers across 100+ countries with SaaS subscriptions for backup, compliance, and access governance spanning Microsoft, Salesforce, Google, and AWS ecosystems. The... Read more

$10.79+30.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#12 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.98%
Stop $10.00Target $14.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$16.13+49.4%13 analysts
$14.03our TP
$10.79price
$16.13mean
$26

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.79: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Enterprise segment (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Enterprise segment (52.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.4
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA38.2
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV97%elevated
Max Pain$1-90.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductEnterprise segment52%
    10-K Item 1: 'the Enterprise segment accounted for 52% of our total annual recurring revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.6
Bollinger
4.2
Support Resistance
4.9
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.83Resistance $11.62

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+30.0%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$16

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.79: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Enterprise segment (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.00. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.03 (+30.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.00. Stop-loss: $10.00.

What are the risks of investing in AVPT?

Concentration risk — Product: Enterprise segment (52.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is AVPT overvalued or undervalued?

AvePoint, Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.4 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVPT?

20 analysts cover AVPT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does AvePoint, Inc. do?AvePoint provides cloud data governance and protection through the AvePoint Confidence Platform, serving 28,000+...

AvePoint provides cloud data governance and protection through the AvePoint Confidence Platform, serving 28,000+ customers across 100+ countries with SaaS subscriptions for backup, compliance, and access governance spanning Microsoft, Salesforce, Google, and AWS ecosystems. The Enterprise segment (>5,000 seats) drove 52% of total ARR at end of 2025, with ~6,000 channel partners handling most SMB and mid-market distribution.

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