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AUAngloGold Ashanti PLCBuy Wait7.0·$92.12+6.74%
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AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $85.07. At $92.12 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $85.07 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria... Read more

$92.12+19.3% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#9 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.16%
IncomeYield5.33%(5y avg 2.11%)Payout52.35%sustainable
Entry $85.07(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $74.79Target $105.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1Setup A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$121.29+31.7%7 analysts
$105.52our TP
$92.12price
$121.29mean
$75
$155

Wait for pullback to $85.07. At $92.12 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $85.07 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$43.6B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE43.0%
Rev Growth64.9%
Beta0.64
Dividend5.33%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.1
Quality Rank
6.8
Superior ROE vs peers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
3.1
Bollinger
3.7
52w Position
4.9
Extreme gap up (8.7%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $77.13Resistance $98.93

Price Targets

$75
$85
$106
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R1.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $85.07. At $92.12 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $85.07 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $105.52 (+14.5%), stop $74.79 (−23.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $105.52 (+19.3% upside). Target $105.52 (+14.5%), stop $74.79 (−23.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $74.79.

What are the risks of investing in AU?

Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is AU overvalued or undervalued?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AU?

16 analysts cover AU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $121.

What does AngloGold Ashanti PLC do?AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold,...

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania. AngloGold Ashanti plc was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · BTG (B2Gold Corp) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation)
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