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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce merchants and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The... Read more

$24.32+5.6% upside
Score 6.1/10Target $25.68Reward/Risk 0.5:1

TrendMatrix rates ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $24.32 with +5.6% upside to the $25.68 price target. Overall score: 6.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.5:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.5Qual6.0Grw5.6Mom5.8Sent6.6Ins4.7Peer6.8Tech5.8Risk5.86.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Attractive valuation
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$19.3B
EV/EBITDA0.5
Profit Mgn18.5%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth12.3%
Beta-0.15
Dividend2.77%
Analysts19
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZTO stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 6.1/10.

What is the ZTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.68 (+5.6% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $21.71.

What are the risks of investing in ZTO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ZTO overvalued or undervalued?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZTO?

19 analysts cover ZTO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $28.

What does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. do?ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic...

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce merchants and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: FDX (FedEx Corporation) · UPS (United Parcel Service, Inc.) · JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I) · HUBG (Hub Group, Inc.) · GXO (GXO Logistics, Inc.)
64 NEUTRAL
20d50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $22.38Res $26.20

Price Targets

$22
$26
Upside+5.6%
Reward/Risk0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-2.4% upside)
! ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
BREAKOUTSuitability: Moderate
Momentum 5.8>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Risk/Reward -0.3=NEGATIVE