ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS ZTO Express Cayman earnings missed by ¥0.54, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK negative
- NEWS ZTO Express Cayman earnings missed by ¥0.54, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS ZTO Express (Cayman) Q1 Earnings Call Highlights - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS ZTO Express (Cayman) Q1 Earnings Call Highlights - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:ZTO) 2026-05-26 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.37. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.15 (+18.4% upside). Prior stop was $21.37. Stop-loss: $21.37.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ZTO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $29.
What does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. do?ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic...
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.