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XPELXPEL, Inc.Sell5.7·$45.13-1.85%
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XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.13 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5.

XPEL, Inc. manufactures, installs, sells, and distributes protective films, coatings and related services. It offers automotive and surface paint protection, windshield protection, and automotive and architectural window films, as well as proprietary DAP software. The company... Read more

$45.13+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#12 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.29%
Stop $41.97Target $47.41(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$51.67+14.5%3 analysts
$47.41our TP
$45.13price
$51.67mean
$55

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.13 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6
P/E (Fwd)18.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE20.3%
Rev Growth13.1%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$55+21.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.01Resistance $48.38

Price Targets

$42
$47
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XPEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.13 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $41.97. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XPEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.41 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $41.97. Stop-loss: $41.97.

What are the risks of investing in XPEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is XPEL overvalued or undervalued?

XPEL, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about XPEL?

9 analysts cover XPEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $52.

What does XPEL, Inc. do?XPEL, Inc. manufactures, installs, sells, and distributes protective films, coatings and related services. It offers...

XPEL, Inc. manufactures, installs, sells, and distributes protective films, coatings and related services. It offers automotive and surface paint protection, windshield protection, and automotive and architectural window films, as well as proprietary DAP software. The company also provides pre-cut film products, merchandise and apparel, ceramic coatings, installation, and tools and accessories; and training services to customers for the installation of its products. In addition, the company offers paint protection kits, car wash products, after-care products, and installation tools through its website. The company sells and distributes its products through independent installers, new car dealerships, third-party distributors, automobile original equipment manufacturers, and company-owned installation centers, as well as through franchisees and online channels. The company operates in the United States, Canada, China, the Asia Pacific, European Union, the United Kingdom, Africa, India, the Middle East, Latin America, and internationally. XPEL, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

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