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MLRMiller Industries, Inc.Sell6.1·$51.74
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Miller Industries has beaten earnings in 3 of 4 quarters, converts profit to cash very well and trades at an attractive forward multiple, but the stock already sits above the analyst target, leaving no valuation cushion.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Miller Industries, Inc. (MLR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Miller Industries manufactures towing and recovery equipment - car carriers, wreckers and transport trailers - under 11 brand names including Century, Vulcan and Holmes, with domestic plants in Tennessee and Pennsylvania and foreign operations in France, the United Kingdom, and,... Read more

$51.74-4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#7 of 33 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield17.41%
IncomeYield1.62%(5y avg 1.79%)Payout65.60%
Stop $49.22Analyst target $49.30(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$58.00+12.1%2 analysts
$51.74price
$58.00mean
$64

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Miller Industries, Inc.

About Miller Industries, Inc.

Miller Industries manufactures towing and recovery equipment under 11 brands - including Century, Vulcan, Holmes and the newly acquired Omars line - through domestic plants in Tennessee and Pennsylvania and foreign facilities in France, the United Kingdom and Italy. The company distributes through approximately 76 North American distributor locations plus more than 30 international distributors, with no single distributor accounting for more than 10% of 2025 consolidated sales.

Miller Industries earns revenue by selling wrecker, car-carrier and transport-trailer bodies - built to order and installed on third-party chassis - to independent distributors who in turn sell to towing operators, prime contractors and government agencies including the U.S. General Services Administration. More than 90% of the company's independent distributors carry no competing manufacturer's products, a loyalty dynamic management credits to long-standing relationships rather than exclusivity clauses. The December 2025 acquisition of Omars S.p.A. of Cuneo, Italy added more than 45 years of light-, medium- and heavy-duty recovery-vehicle manufacturing experience and expanded Miller's European brand portfolio alongside its existing Jige and Boniface lines. The company sources component parts, chassis and raw materials such as aluminum, steel and petroleum-based products from third-party suppliers without long-term supply contracts, and has passed through tariff-related cost increases to customers via price increases.

Show full overview

Miller Industries' distribution channel experienced an inventory buildup during fiscal 2025 that forced the company to slow production of manufactured units in the second half of the year; management expects a return to steady chassis and equipment deliveries in fiscal 2026 as distributor inventory normalizes. Because distributors rely on floor-plan financing to carry that inventory, any tightening of lending terms - as occurred when certain floor-plan lenders exited the market in past cycles - could again constrain distributor purchasing capacity independent of end-market towing demand, a financing-channel risk distinct from the raw-material and tariff cost pressures already facing the business.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

From Miller Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.1
P/E (Fwd)18.6
Mkt Cap$587M
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta1.13
Dividend1.62%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$55+6.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.52Resistance $54.83

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $49.22. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLR stock price target?

Analyst target $49.30 reached (−4.7% from $51.74); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $49.22. Stop-loss: $49.22.

What are the risks of investing in MLR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is MLR overvalued or undervalued?

Miller Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.1 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLR?

6 analysts cover MLR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Miller Industries, Inc. do?Miller Industries manufactures towing and recovery equipment - car carriers, wreckers and transport trailers - under 11...

Miller Industries manufactures towing and recovery equipment - car carriers, wreckers and transport trailers - under 11 brand names including Century, Vulcan and Holmes, with domestic plants in Tennessee and Pennsylvania and foreign operations in France, the United Kingdom, and, following its December 2025 acquisition of Omars S.p.A., Italy. The company sells through roughly 76 North American distributor locations and over 30 international distributors, with no single distributor accounting for more than 10% of 2025 consolidated sales.

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