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WNCWabash National CorporationSell5.1·$13.82
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wabash National's quality has broken down — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, a 20% YoY revenue decline, and a death-cross hard block — while falling analyst estimates (-41.3%) and a 7.25 put/call ratio point to continued near-term pressure despite a statistically cheap valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Piotroski Quality Floor Breach→Stable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard Block→Stable
  • Declining Revenue Growth Deterioration→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.82: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and infrastructure industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. It offers dry van trailers, platform... Read more

$13.82+38.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#13 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score1 / 9FCF yield26.24%
IncomeYield2.32%(5y avg 1.85%)Payout7.89%sustainable
Stop $12.85Analyst target $19.13(−15% haircut)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst consensus$22.50+62.8%2 analysts
$19.13Analyst target
$13.82price
$22.50mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.82: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.22% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$563M
EV/EBITDA-114.8
Profit Mgn-5.5%
ROE-22.9%
Rev Growth-9.1%
Beta1.47
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F1/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we are subject to a concentration of risk as our five largest customers together accounted for approximately 35% of our aggregate net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierchassis suppliers (GM, Freightliner, International, Ford)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Historically, General Motors Company (“GM”), Freightliner Custom Chassis (“Freightliner”), International Truck (“International”), and Ford Motor Company (“Ford”) have been the primary chassis suppliers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Wabash announced Michael N. Pettit's transition from SVP, Chief Growth Officer to a non-executive Senior Advisor role effective April 8, 2026, remaining through Q3 2026 when his termination without cause under the Executive Severance Plan takes effect.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
1.1
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.9
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 1/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
7.2
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.90Resistance $14.47

Price Targets

$13
$19
A.Upside+38.4%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.22% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.82: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $12.85. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WNC stock price target?

Analyst target: $19.13 (+38.4% upside). Prior stop was $12.85. Stop-loss: $12.85.

What are the risks of investing in WNC?

Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.22% of cap).

Is WNC overvalued or undervalued?

Wabash National Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WNC?

6 analysts cover WNC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Wabash National Corporation do?Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and...

Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and infrastructure industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. It offers dry van trailers, platform trailers, refrigerated trailers, stainless steel and aluminum tank trailers, and used trailors; dry freight truck bodies, cargo bodies, insulated and light-duty acutherm refrigerated truck bodies, and platform truck bodies; and laminated hardwood oak flooring. The company also provides aftermarket parts and services; steel flatbed bodies, truck body mounting, shelving for package delivery, partitions, roof racks, hitches, thermal solutions, liftgates, and other; door repair and replacement, collision repair, and basic maintenance; stainless steel storage tanks and silos, mixers, and processors for the dairy, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, chemical, craft brewing, and biotech end markets; and truck bodies, overhead doors, and other industrial applications. In addition, it offers maintenance and repair services for tank trailers and other related equipment; direct-line access to truck body repair parts; and trailers as a service, as well as develops and scales a digital marketplace for the transportation and logistics distribution industry. The company offers its products under the Wabash, MaxClearance, Trust Lock Plus, EZ-7, Lock-Rite, EZ-Adjust, DuraPlate, DuraPlateHD, DuraPlate AeroSkirt, and AeroSkirt CX brands, and EcoNex brand. Wabash National Corporation was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Indiana.

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