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CMCOColumbus McKinnon CorporationSell6.4·$15.06
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Columbus McKinnon pairs a very low valuation (forward P/E 5.5x, 51% upside to the analyst target) and an earnings catalyst with 125% growth, but cash burn, weak quality (3.1) and a broken price trend keep the engine at avoid.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Revenue Step Up Strong Growth→Stable
  • Cash Burn Weak Quality→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 18, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 8, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.06: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Columbus McKinnon is a global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of intelligent motion solutions for material handling, including hoists, crane components, precision conveyor systems, rigging tools, and digital power and motion control systems, sold under brands including... Read more

$15.06+46.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-59.17%
IncomeYield1.87%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout133.33%at-risk
Stop $14.01Analyst target $22.10(−15% haircut)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst consensus$26.00+72.6%4 analysts
$22.10Analyst target
$15.06price
$26.00mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.06: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Columbus McKinnon Corporation

About Columbus McKinnon Corporation

Columbus McKinnon generated 56% of fiscal 2026 sales ($668.3 million) in the United States and 44% ($525.1 million) internationally, with hoists alone accounting for 48% of net sales. The company closed its acquisition of Kito Crosby on February 3, 2026, adding over 4,000 employees and 40 facilities to a base that had approximately 3,500 employees and 63 facilities beforehand.

Columbus McKinnon sells its hoists, crane components, rigging hardware, and conveyance systems primarily through industrial distributors, rigging shops, and independent crane builders, selling directly to OEMs for its Magnetek-branded digital power control and elevator drive systems. The company's Lifting business is sensitive to broader industrial capacity utilization, industrial production, and GDP growth, making revenue cyclical with the capital-spending plans of its manufacturing, energy, construction, and transportation end markets. Raw material costs, particularly steel and aluminum, are exposed to trade tariffs and price swings that the company may not be able to fully pass through to customers given competitive pricing pressure. The February 2026 Kito Crosby acquisition added safety-critical, consumable-oriented lifting and rigging products, such as chain, shackles, and blocks, that the company says drive non-discretionary replacement demand and recurring revenue distinct from its more cyclical installed-equipment sales.

Show full overview

Regulatory approval of the Kito Crosby acquisition came with a structural cost to Columbus McKinnon's own supply chain: to close the deal on February 3, 2026, the company was required to divest its legacy U.S. power chain hoist business (aside from Little Mule products) and a U.S. chain-making facility, even as it simultaneously acquired new chain-making facilities in the U.S. and Japan through the same transaction. On July 1, 2026, the company also separated Chief Financial Officer Gregory P. Rustowicz in a termination tied to the change-in-control provisions of his employment agreement, adding leadership transition to the list of integration variables investors must track alongside the manufacturing-footprint swap.

See also: Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

From Columbus McKinnon Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 26, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Columbus McKinnon Corporation

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$435M
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn-21.2%
ROE-27.7%
Rev Growth125.3%
Beta1.43
Dividend1.87%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$13-17.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -21.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.7
Gross Margin
3.0
Operating Margin
4.2
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.0
Cash-burning: FCF -17% of revenueNo competitive moat
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.21Resistance $17.34

Price Targets

$14
$22
A.Upside+46.7%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.06: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Prior stop was $14.01. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMCO stock price target?

Analyst target: $22.10 (+46.7% upside). Prior stop was $14.01. Stop-loss: $14.01.

What are the risks of investing in CMCO?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is CMCO overvalued or undervalued?

Columbus McKinnon Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMCO?

10 analysts cover CMCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Columbus McKinnon Corporation do?Columbus McKinnon is a global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of intelligent motion solutions for material...

Columbus McKinnon is a global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of intelligent motion solutions for material handling, including hoists, crane components, precision conveyor systems, rigging tools, and digital power and motion control systems, sold under brands including Harrington, Kito, CM, Yale, and STAHL. In fiscal 2026, hoists represented 48% of net sales, with 56% of sales generated in the U.S. and 44% internationally. On February 3, 2026, the company closed its acquisition of Kito Crosby, a lifting and rigging manufacturer with over 4,000 employees and 40 facilities worldwide, signif

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