Value
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.7 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.9 |
| PEG | 4.4 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 25.4x
- ▸PEG: 2.14
WING · Why this verdict
Why Wingstop (WING) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 5.8 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 7.9 |
| Current ratio | 7.7 |
| FCF quality | 5.9 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 16%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 78% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
2.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.3 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.7 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.0 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 9.8 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.40 (n=2)
- ▸Analyst upside: 66%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $70,561 (0.002% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.1 |
| quality rank | 8.5 |
| growth rank | 4.5 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.1 |
| support resistance | 4.4 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.4 |
| days to cover | 7.4 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.3 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 4.0 |
- ▸High short interest: 19%
- ▸High IV: 88%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 84.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:3.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.80
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
3.31
Upside
+49.7%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (7.7) with weak momentum (3.9)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.80>1.3, MCap $3.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.31 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.6, Quality at 7.7, and Catalyst at 7.2; the weakest are Growth at 2.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.2, and Technical at 3.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.31 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.