Skip to main content
WFCWells Fargo & CompanySell5.4·$83.67
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wells Fargo trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.5x with 27% operating margins and positive analyst sentiment, but is blocked by a confirmed death cross, an elevated put/call ratio, regulatory concentration across two major overseers, and consecutive earnings misses — creating a picture of a value stock with significant execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Regulatory Concentration Two Overseers↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Death Cross Momentum Breakdown↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. At $83.67, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

Wells Fargo & Company held approximately $2.1 trillion in assets and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, ranking as the fourth largest U.S. bank holding company by assets. The company earns revenue across Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate... Read more

$83.67+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#16 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.42%(5y avg 2.13%)Payout26.16%sustainable
Stop $79.75Analyst target $87.32(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst consensus$97.02+16.0%24 analysts
$87.32Analyst target
$83.67price
$97.02mean
$108

Sell if holding. At $83.67, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Wells Fargo & Company

About Wells Fargo & Company

Wells Fargo & Company reported approximately $2.1 trillion in total assets, $986.2 billion in loans, and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, ranking fourth among U.S. bank holding companies by assets. The company operates four reportable segments — Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management — employing approximately 205,000 people, with 76% based in the United States. The Federal Reserve Board serves as the parent company's primary regulator.

Wells Fargo earns revenue primarily through net interest income and fee income from consumer and commercial lending, mortgage banking, investment advisory, brokerage, and capital markets services. Consumer businesses span checking and savings accounts, credit and debit cards, and home, auto, personal, and small business lending. Commercial services include banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors, secured lending, treasury management, and commercial real estate. The 10-K identifies the company as one of the largest commercial and CRE lenders in the United States — a position that may produce elevated credit losses if economic conditions deteriorate and borrowers struggle with repayment. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., the principal subsidiary, held $1.8 trillion in assets, or 85% of the consolidated company total, and is subject to OCC supervision. The company invested approximately $200 million in employee learning and development programs during 2025.

Show full overview

Wells Fargo remains under two active regulatory enforcement actions. The FRB consent order dated February 2, 2018 — governing board-level governance and compliance risk management — was partially lifted on June 3, 2025, when the FRB removed its asset-growth cap; however, remaining provisions of the order are still in place. Separately, on September 12, 2024, Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. entered a formal agreement with the OCC requiring enhanced anti-money laundering and sanctions risk management practices. Both regulators retain authority to impose additional requirements or restrict the company's business activities if compliance obligations are not met.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

From Wells Fargo & Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 14, 202777d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
Thin upside margin: 4.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$251.1B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn27.6%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.95
Dividend2.42%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.83bearish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$98+17.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFederal Reserve Board
    10-K Item 1: 'The Parent is subject to regulation under the BHC Act and to inspection, examination and supervision by its primary regulator, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System'
  • HIGHregulatoryOffice of the Comptroller of the Currency
    10-K Item 1: 'Our subsidiary national banks, and their subsidiaries, are subject to regulation and examination primarily by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOW
    Annual meeting held April 28, 2026. Item 5.02 concerns director/officer departure, election, or appointment; body truncated before details. Filed alongside Item 5.07 (stockholder vote results). Specific names and roles not available from truncated body.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Earnings Growth
4.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
7.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
6.8
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.00Resistance $84.73

Price Targets

$80
$87
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-14 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $83.67, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $79.75. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WFC stock price target?

Analyst target: $87.32 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $79.75. Stop-loss: $79.75.

What are the risks of investing in WFC?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve Board; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency; Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Is WFC overvalued or undervalued?

Wells Fargo & Company trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WFC?

30 analysts cover WFC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Wells Fargo & Company do?Wells Fargo & Company held approximately $2.1 trillion in assets and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025,...

Wells Fargo & Company held approximately $2.1 trillion in assets and $1.4 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, ranking as the fourth largest U.S. bank holding company by assets. The company earns revenue across Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management segments. Approximately 205,000 employees, with 76% U.S.-based.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · ING (ING Group, N.V.) · UBS (UBS Group AG Registered)
Home › Stocks › WFC

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance113d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha113d agoEarnings
MarketBeat113d ago
Yahoo Finance22d agoAnalyst
TradingKey107d ago
TradingView107d ago
Seeking Alpha107d agoEarnings
StockStory107d ago
Seeking Alpha107d ago
Quiver Quantitative107d agoEarnings
MarketBeat107d ago
TradingKey16d ago
Yahoo Finance16d agoEarnings
Benzinga16d ago
Seeking Alpha16d ago
StockStory16d ago
Quiver Quantitative16d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance16d ago
Business Wire114d agoEarnings
MarketBeat23d ago
Loading more...