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UBSUBS Group AG RegisteredHold5.8·$46.69
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UBS Group offers attractive valuation at 12x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.90 and rising on-balance volume above its 200-day moving average, but having already exceeded its analyst price target by 15.5%, the stock offers no near-term asymmetric entry point.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation 12x Forward↑Improving
  • Above 200 Day Volume Accumulation↑Improving
  • Piotroski 7 Strong Margins→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services,... Read more

$46.69+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.35%(5y avg 1.93%)Payout37.42%sustainable
Stop $44.95Analyst target $46.78(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$55.03+17.9%3 analysts
$46.78Analyst target
$46.69price
$55.03mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$143.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn17.9%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth14.6%
Beta0.85
Dividend2.35%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C4.33bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$38-19.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.93Resistance $49.05

Price Targets

$45
$47
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $46.78 (+0.2%), stop $44.95 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBS stock price target?

Analyst target: $46.78 (+0.2% upside). Analyst target $46.78 (+0.2%), stop $44.95 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $44.95.

What are the risks of investing in UBS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is UBS overvalued or undervalued?

UBS Group AG Registered trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UBS?

25 analysts cover UBS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $55.

What does UBS Group AG Registered do?UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth...

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services, advice, and solutions; investment management, estate planning, and corporate advice services; and wealth management and banking products and services to private wealth and institutional customers. Its Personal & Corporate Banking segment provides banking, retirement, financing, investments, and strategic transactions to private, corporate, and institutional customers through its branch network and digital channels in Switzerland. The Asset Management segment offers diversified asset management services. Its Investment Bank segment provides equities, foreign exchange, precious metals, research, advisory, and capital markets services to institutional, corporate, financial sponsor, and Global Wealth Management customers, as well as focused rates and credit platform. The company also offers lending products, such as securities-based lending, mortgages, structured products, and tailored solutions; collateralized lending residential and commercial real estate, primarily against securities, residential and commercial real estate, other real assets (such as ships and aircraft), private market and hedge fund interest; and unsecured lending. The company was formerly known as UBS AG and changed its name to UBS Group AG in December 2014. UBS Group AG was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · ING (ING Group, N.V.) · HSBC (HSBC Holdings, plc.)
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