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INGING Group, N.V.Buy Wait5.9·$32.89
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging roughly 9.5% above consensus reflect disciplined execution, yet the stock has essentially reached its near-term resistance target with a risk/reward of only 0.26-to-1 and 1.1% headroom remaining—leaving little case for adding capital at current prices despite solid financial health.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance↑Improving
  • Unfavorable Risk Reward At Target↑Improving
  • Technical Accumulation Above Trend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ING Group, N.V. (ING) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $31.76. Price sits above the model's entry target of $31.76; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It... Read more

$32.89-5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.06%(5y avg 5.36%)Payout47.99%sustainable
Entry $31.76(support + ATR (held))Stop $30.52Analyst target $31.02(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$36.50+11.0%3 analysts
$32.89price
$36.50mean
$43

Wait for pullback to $31.76. Price sits above the model's entry target of $31.76; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$93.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn34.5%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.91
Dividend4.06%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.01bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$26-20.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.40Resistance $35.31

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.7% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ING stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $31.76. Price sits above the model's entry target of $31.76; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $31.02 reached (−5.7%), stop $30.52 (−7.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ING stock price target?

Analyst target $31.02 reached (−5.7% from $32.89); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $31.02 reached (−5.7%), stop $30.52 (−7.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $30.52.

What are the risks of investing in ING?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is ING overvalued or undervalued?

ING Group, N.V. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ING?

28 analysts cover ING with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $37.

What does ING Group, N.V. do?ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and...

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It accepts current and savings accounts; and time deposits. The company also offers business lending products; SME loans; consumer lending products, such as residential mortgage loans and other consumer lending loans; and mortgages. In addition, it provides working capital solutions; debt and equity market solutions; various loans; payments; and cash management, trade and corporate finance, and treasury services, as well as savings, investment, insurance, and digital banking services. The company serves individual customers, corporate clients, and financial institutions. ING Groep N.V. was founded in 1762 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · UBS (UBS Group AG Registered) · HSBC (HSBC Holdings, plc.)
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