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WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Sell4.1·$27.12+0.97%
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Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - (WBD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.12: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 8.47; Below-average business quality.

For convenience, the terms "Warner Bros. Discovery", "WBD", the "Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K to refer to both Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and collectively to Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and one or more of its consolidated... Read more

$27.12-0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#27 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield27.30%
Stop $26.16Target $26.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$29.65+9.3%12 analysts
$26.89our TP
$27.12price
$29.65mean
$26
$31

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.12: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 8.47; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-3711.1
Mkt Cap$67.6B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn-4.7%
ROE-5.0%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta1.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C8.47bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$15-44.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 29, 2026, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    As previously disclosed in a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 27, 2026, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.9
Current Ratio
2.9
Moat
3.2
Operating Margin
3.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Gross Margin
5.1
Fcf Quality
6.0
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 50%, FCF yield 27.3%)No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings History
1.1
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Estimates down -12.7% (30d)Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
5.2
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.91Resistance $27.44

Price Targets

$26
$27
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WBD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.12: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 8.47; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.16. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.89 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $26.16. Stop-loss: $26.16.

What are the risks of investing in WBD?

Target reached (-4.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is WBD overvalued or undervalued?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3711.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WBD?

28 analysts cover WBD with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - do?For convenience, the terms "Warner Bros. Discovery", "WBD", the "Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this Annual...

For convenience, the terms "Warner Bros. Discovery", "WBD", the "Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K to refer to both Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and collectively to Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and one or more of its consolidated subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires.

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