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MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports CoSell4.0·$378.02-1.73%
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Madison Square Garden Sports Co (MSGS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $378.02: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.81; Below-average business quality.

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison... Read more

$378.02+2.8% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#27 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield0.54%
Stop $356.61Target $389.06(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$398.17+5.3%6 analysts
$389.06our TP
$378.02price
$398.17mean
$295
$470

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $378.02: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.81; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Madison Square Garden Sports Co

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.4% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-1074.3
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA-475.0
Profit Mgn-2.1%
ROE
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.81bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$200-47.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Appointment of Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer On April 28, 2026, the Board of Directors of Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Gross Margin
1.9
Current Ratio
1.9
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
3.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $343.57Resistance $397.00

Price Targets

$357
$389
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $378.02: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.81; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $356.61. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $389.06 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $356.61. Stop-loss: $356.61.

What are the risks of investing in MSGS?

Target reached (-8.4% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is MSGS overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Square Garden Sports Co trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -1074.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSGS?

15 analysts cover MSGS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $398.

What does Madison Square Garden Sports Co do?Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania...

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., a holding company, and its direct and indirect subsidiaries.

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