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FWONKLiberty Media Corporation - SerHold6.0·$89.24+0.35%
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Liberty Media Corporation - Ser (FWONK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Liberty Media Corporation holds the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship (via Delta Topco/Formula 1) and MotoGP, with operations headquartered in the UK and Spain. Revenue derives from race promotion (26.7%), media rights (31.3%), and sponsorship (21.7%); Formula... Read more

$89.24+15.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.94%
Stop $83.97Target $103.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$114.56+28.4%16 analysts
$103.11our TP
$89.24price
$114.56mean
$135

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.8
P/E (Fwd)41.8
Mkt Cap$22.3B
EV/EBITDA31.1
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth59.1%
Beta0.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.75bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$85-4.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'The FIA may terminate the 100-Year Agreements... Termination of the 100-Year Agreements could cause Formula 1 to discontinue its operations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 5, 2026, Liberty Media announced Renee L. Wilm will transition from Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Liberty Media, Liberty Live Holdings, and Liberty Broadband to Senior Advisor, effective later in 2026. No successor CLO/CAO named for Liberty Media.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $85.13Resistance $92.72

Price Targets

$84
$103
A.Upside+15.5%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FWONK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $103.11 (+15.5%), stop $83.97 (−6.3%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FWONK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.11 (+15.5% upside). Target $103.11 (+15.5%), stop $83.97 (−6.3%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $83.97.

What are the risks of investing in FWONK?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is FWONK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 38.8 (forward 41.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FWONK?

18 analysts cover FWONK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Liberty Media Corporation - Ser do?Liberty Media Corporation holds the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship (via Delta Topco/Formula 1) and...

Liberty Media Corporation holds the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship (via Delta Topco/Formula 1) and MotoGP, with operations headquartered in the UK and Spain. Revenue derives from race promotion (26.7%), media rights (31.3%), and sponsorship (21.7%); Formula 1's license from the FIA runs until 2110 and is critical to all operations.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · NWSA (News Corporation) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · NWS (News Corporation)
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