Valvoline is an automotive quick-lube service company with 25% revenue growth, 32% return on equity, and a recovery technical pattern with improving MACD, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with essentially zero upside remaining, a risk score below the minimum threshold at 2.7, and 14% short interest combined with a 4.60 put/call ratio signaling intense bearish conviction.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Growth High Roe↑Improving
- Target Reached Extreme Options Risk↓Deteriorating
- Recovery Pattern Overbought Signal→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $30.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Valvoline Inc. is a leader in automotive preventive maintenance delivering convenient and trusted services in its retail stores throughout the United States ("U.S.") and Canada. The terms "Valvoline," the "Company," "we," "us," "management," and "our" as used herein refer to... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $30.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-12Recent Developments — Valvoline Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Piper Sandler reiterates Valvoline stock rating on solid quarter outlook By Investing.com - Investing.com Australia — Investing.com Australia positive
- NEWS Piper Sandler reiterates Valvoline stock rating on solid quarter outlook By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria positive
- NEWS Piper Sandler reiterates Valvoline stock rating on solid quarter outlook - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Piper Sandler reiterates Valvoline stock rating on solid quarter outlook By Investing.com - Investing.com Canada — Investing.com Canada positive
- NEWS Piper Sandler reiterates Valvoline stock rating on solid quarter outlook By Investing.com - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK positive
Generated 2026-09-14T06:36:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-23Item 5.02MEDIUM. | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (d). On July 22, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Valvoline Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $30.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.95. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.32 (+28.7% upside). Prior stop was $28.95. Stop-loss: $28.95.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Valvoline Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover VVV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $44.
What does Valvoline Inc. do?Valvoline Inc. is a leader in automotive preventive maintenance delivering convenient and trusted services in its...
Valvoline Inc. is a leader in automotive preventive maintenance delivering convenient and trusted services in its retail stores throughout the United States ("U.S.") and Canada. The terms "Valvoline," the "Company," "we," "us," "management," and "our" as used herein refer to Valvoline Inc., its predecessors and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.