Boyd Group Services shows 28% revenue growth, a reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 6.85-to-1 with 45.9% upside to the analyst target, and exceptional free cash flow conversion — but business quality sits marginally below the minimum floor and price momentum is negative, flagging execution risk despite the compelling theoretical setup.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Free Cash Conversion→Stable
- Quality Near Minimum Floor↓Deteriorating
- Exceptional Upside Asymmetry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.04: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.04: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Boyd Group Services Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Boyd Group Q1 2026 results miss forecasts, stock rises - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- NEWS Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Q1 earnings and revenues beat estimates - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates - sharewise.com — sharewise.com positive
- NEWS Boyd Group Services Reports Wider Q1 Net Loss, Despite Higher Sales and Adjusted Net Earnings - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- NEWS Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-10-29T13:34:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.04: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $76.52. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $124.70 (+52.0% upside). Prior stop was $76.52. Stop-loss: $76.52.
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
Boyd Group Services Inc. trades at a P/E of 182.3 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover BGSI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $147.
What does Boyd Group Services Inc. do?Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North...
Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name in the United States. It operates as a retail auto glass operator under the Gerber Collision and Glass, Glass America, Auto Glass Service, Auto Glass Authority, and Autoglassonly.com trade names in the United States. In addition, the company operates a third-party administrator, Gerber National Claims Services that offers glass, emergency roadside, and first notice of loss services; and a Mobile Auto Solutions service that offers scanning and calibration services. It serves insurance companies and individual vehicle owners. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.