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DRVNDriven Brands Holdings Inc.Sell5.8·$13.57+1.04%
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Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. At $13.57, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.3%.

Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion... Read more

$13.57+9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.20%
Stop $12.63Target $14.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$17.06+25.7%10 analysts
$14.84our TP
$13.57price
$17.06mean
$22

Sell if holding. At $13.57, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.60, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 5, 2026 MEDIUM Item 3.01: Driven Brands received a second Nasdaq non-compliance notice on June 1, 2026 for failing to timely file its Q1 2026 Form 10-Q. Company has until July 31, 2026 to submit a compliance plan; Nasdaq may grant until November 25, 2026. No immediate effect on listing.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.3%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE19.8%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$20+47.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 2.02LOW
    Driven Brands released a press release on April 21, 2026 disclosing expected performance for Q4 2025, FY2025, and Q1 2026, and provided an update on the filing status of the FY2025 Form 10-K and its anticipated impact on the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-21Item 3.01MEDIUM
    Driven Brands received a Nasdaq non-compliance notice on April 15, 2026 for failing to timely file its FY2025 Form 10-K (12b-25 late notice filed Feb 26, 2026). Notice has no immediate effect on listing or trading. Company intends to regain compliance.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-05Item 3.01MEDIUM
    Driven Brands received a second Nasdaq non-compliance notice on June 1, 2026 for failing to timely file its Q1 2026 Form 10-Q. Company has until July 31, 2026 to submit a compliance plan; Nasdaq may grant until November 25, 2026. No immediate effect on listing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)8K FLAG 3.01,3.01Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.49Resistance $14.63

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $13.57, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.63. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.84 (+9.3% upside). Prior stop was $12.63. Stop-loss: $12.63.

What are the risks of investing in DRVN?

Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DRVN overvalued or undervalued?

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DRVN?

17 analysts cover DRVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Driven Brands Holdings Inc. do?Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in...

Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion in net revenue from $6.1 billion in system-wide sales in fiscal 2025, with a mix of company-operated and franchised locations across oil change, collision repair, paint, glass, and parts distribution.

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