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VSTSVestis CorporationSell4.3·$15.25
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Vestis shows a textbook technical breakout with a rising estimate revision trend, but the engine finds no statistical edge behind the pattern, quality sits below the investment floor, the asymmetry gate has failed after the analyst target was reached, and an elevated put/call ratio signals defensive options positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Golden Cross Breakout Setup→Stable
  • Quality Score Below Investment Floor→Stable
  • Negative Asymmetry After Target Reached→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 2, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Vestis Corporation (VSTS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

Vestis Corporation provides uniform rentals and workplace supplies — uniforms, mats, towels, linens, restroom and first-aid supplies — to over 300,000 accounts across the U.S. (91% of revenue) and Canada (9%). It generated approximately $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue, 95%... Read more

$15.25-25.8% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#17 of 18 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield3.43%
Stop $14.21Analyst target $11.31(reached)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst consensus$13.00-14.8%7 analysts
$15.25price
$13.00mean
$9
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Vestis Corporation

About Vestis Corporation

Vestis Corporation generated approximately $2.7 billion in revenue for fiscal 2025, with 91% from customers in the United States and 9% from Canada, delivered through a network of more than 325 laundry plants, satellite sites, and distribution centers supporting over 3,300 pick-up and delivery routes. The company employed approximately 18,150 teammates, of whom roughly 10,750 — about 59% — are represented by labor unions.

Vestis earns revenue primarily by renting uniforms, mats, towels, linens, and restroom, first-aid, and safety supplies under multi-year contracts serviced on a recurring, typically weekly basis; rental revenue made up 95% of fiscal 2025 revenue, with the remaining 5% from direct sales of customized uniforms to large regional and national accounts. The customer base is broad — over 300,000 accounts spanning manufacturing, hospitality, retail, food processing, healthcare, and automotive — and the 10-K states the ten largest customers together represented less than 10% of total revenue in fiscal 2025. About 60% of Vestis's uniforms and linens are manufactured at two company-operated plants in Mexico, and the company ranks second among the three major national providers — behind Cintas Corporation and ahead of UniFirst Corporation — by revenue, headcount, and facility count.

Show full overview

A distinct exposure sits in Vestis's supply chain rather than its customer base: the 10-K discloses that certain raw materials and products are limited to a single supplier, with no assurance an alternative could be found in a timely manner if that supplier were disrupted. That risk compounds with geographic concentration in production — the two Mexican plants that produce roughly 60% of Vestis's uniforms and linens sit in a country the 10-K flags for violence, crime, and instability risk to trucks and personnel, against which the company carries no insurance.

See also: Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

From Vestis Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Vestis Corporation

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States revenue (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain raw materials
Target reached (-25.8% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn-0.2%
ROE-0.6%
Rev Growth-1.8%
Beta1.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States revenue91%
    10-K Item 1: 'Geographically, 91% of our fiscal year 2025 revenue was from sales in the United States, with the remaining 9% from sales in Canada.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle supplier for certain raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our raw materials and products are currently and may in the future be limited to a single supplier'
  • HIGHGeographicMexico manufacturing (uniforms and linens)60%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 60% of our uniforms and linens are manufactured in our two manufacturing plants in Mexico.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-15Item 5.02LOW
    Vestis entered a Second Amended and Restated Offer Letter and Employment Agreement with Interim CFO Adam K. Bowen for continued service in that role; base salary remains $400,000 and target bonus remains 35% of base salary. Not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.3
Roa
1.6
Operating Margin
2.3
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
7.5
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
8.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
7.8
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.09Resistance $15.37

Price Targets

A.Upside-25.8%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VSTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.21. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VSTS stock price target?

Analyst target $11.31 reached (−25.8% from $15.25); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $14.21. Stop-loss: $14.21.

What are the risks of investing in VSTS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States revenue (91.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain raw materials; Target reached (-25.8% upside).

Is VSTS overvalued or undervalued?

Vestis Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VSTS?

13 analysts cover VSTS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Vestis Corporation do?Vestis Corporation provides uniform rentals and workplace supplies — uniforms, mats, towels, linens, restroom and...

Vestis Corporation provides uniform rentals and workplace supplies — uniforms, mats, towels, linens, restroom and first-aid supplies — to over 300,000 accounts across the U.S. (91% of revenue) and Canada (9%). It generated approximately $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue, 95% recurring rental, via 325-plus plants and 18,150 employees. Multi-year contracts and route density support its position as the second-largest provider behind Cintas.

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