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VFCV.F. CorporationHold5.7·$17.69+1.13%
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V.F. Corporation (VFC) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5.

V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies, organized into Outdoor, Active, and Work segments. In FY2025 (ended March 2025), 51% of revenues were from Americas, 34% Europe, and 15%... Read more

$17.69+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.31%
IncomeYield2.04%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout56.25%sustainable
Stop $16.41Target $18.19(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$20.21+14.3%21 analysts
$18.19our TP
$17.69price
$20.21mean
$14
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.1%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE22.1%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta0.97
Dividend2.04%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV65%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Martino Scabbia Guerrini (CCO and President, Emerging Brands) no longer serving in those roles effective Jan 28, 2026; transitioning to senior advisor to CEO. Brent Hyder (EVP, Chief People Officer) appointed as new CCO. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.48Resistance $17.97

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $18.19 (+2.8%), stop $16.41 (−7.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.19 (+3.1% upside). Target $18.19 (+2.8%), stop $16.41 (−7.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $16.41.

What are the risks of investing in VFC?

Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is VFC overvalued or undervalued?

V.F. Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VFC?

28 analysts cover VFC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $20.

What does V.F. Corporation do?V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans,...

V.F. Corporation is a portfolio of outdoor, active, and workwear apparel brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies, organized into Outdoor, Active, and Work segments. In FY2025 (ended March 2025), 51% of revenues were from Americas, 34% Europe, and 15% Asia-Pacific, with DTC representing 44% of total revenues. The company is executing a Reinvent turnaround targeting $500-600M net operating income expansion by FY2028.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation)
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