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Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Elevated risk factors.

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor, active, and lifestyle apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment under Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear, and prAna brands globally. Products are manufactured by contract manufacturers primarily in the... Read more

$62.21+2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
Stop $58.43Target $63.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$65.00+4.5%6 analysts
$63.82our TP
$62.21price
$65.00mean
$44
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.75, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.8
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta
Dividend1.97%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C2.20bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$35-43.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicChina raw materials27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our contract manufacturers sourced roughly 27% of our footwear raw materials and roughly 21% of our apparel raw materials for the U.S. market from China.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Columbia Sportswear terminated its prior revolving credit facility upon entering a new $500M unsecured revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent, maturing March 19, 2031. No adverse circumstances cited for termination of prior facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.6
Support Resistance
2.7
Gap
4.0
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.75NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.27Resistance $65.12

Price Targets

$58
$64
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $58.43. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.82 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $58.43. Stop-loss: $58.43.

What are the risks of investing in COLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Is COLM overvalued or undervalued?

Columbia Sportswear Company trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COLM?

14 analysts cover COLM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Columbia Sportswear Company do?Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor, active, and lifestyle apparel, footwear,...

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor, active, and lifestyle apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment under Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear, and prAna brands globally. Products are manufactured by contract manufacturers primarily in the Asia Pacific region and sold through wholesale and DTC channels.

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