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VCVisteon CorporationSell5.7·$72.42
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Visteon trades at a modest forward multiple of 12x with a strong Piotroski score and exceptional free cash flow conversion, but negative price momentum and negative risk/reward asymmetry make the current setup unfavorable until technicals improve.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Conversion Strength↓Deteriorating
  • Value Peg Attractiveness↑Improving
  • Semiconductor Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Visteon Corporation (VC) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.42: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.67; Below-average business quality.

Visteon Corporation designs and manufactures automotive electronics—digital instrument clusters, information displays, infotainment systems, cockpit domain controllers, and battery management systems—for global vehicle OEMs. In 2025, Ford represented 26% of net sales, General... Read more

$72.42+31.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#11 of 33 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.01%
IncomeYield2.04%Payout23.93%sustainable
Stop $67.79Analyst target $95.44(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst consensus$109.70+51.5%10 analysts
$95.44Analyst target
$72.42price
$109.70mean
$135

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.42: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 21, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and no CEO selling and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Visteon Corporation

About Visteon Corporation

Visteon's sole Electronics segment—covering digital instrument clusters, information displays, infotainment, cockpit domain controllers, battery management systems, and high-voltage power electronics—served 16 global OEMs in 2025, with Ford representing 26% of total net sales, General Motors 12%, and Volkswagen 10%. The company's approximately 10,500 employees work across roughly 17 countries, with 34% of the workforce in Europe, 31% in other Asia Pacific markets, 23% in the Americas, and 12% in China.

OEM contracts typically govern supply for a customer's annual requirements on a specific vehicle model rather than firm purchase-quantity commitments, and most customers retain a right to terminate for convenience. Annual pricing is negotiated and subject to contractual reductions over a vehicle platform's life; Visteon must offset these reductions through manufacturing productivity, material cost reductions, and design-cost improvements or risk margin compression. Semiconductor chips—identified in the 10-K as a component for which the company is dependent on single or limited sources of supply—represent a critical input; shortages, including from developing DRAM constraints, have disrupted production schedules and may continue to do so. The manufacturing footprint spans Brazil, Bulgaria, China, India, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Slovakia, Thailand, and Tunisia. Competitors include Aptiv PLC, Harman International Industries (a Samsung Electronics subsidiary), Denso Corporation, Robert Bosch GmbH, and Valeo SA, among others.

Show full overview

Visteon's reliance on Ford and General Motors is explicitly named as a concentration risk: Ford represented 26% of net sales in 2025, up from 22% in 2023, while General Motors contributed 12%. The 10-K states the company is highly dependent on Ford Motor Company and General Motors and that decreases in either customer's production volumes would adversely affect the company. If either customer insources components, reduces vehicle production, or shifts purchasing to a competitor, Visteon's revenue would be immediately affected given the program-specific nature of OEM supply agreements.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

From Visteon Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027111d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-5.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -5.5%), High leverage (D/E 2.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.30
Dividend2.04%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C9.67bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerFord26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Ford| 26 | %'
  • LOWCustomerGeneral Motors12%
    10-K Item 1: 'General Motors| 12 | %'
  • LOWCustomerVolkswagen10%
    10-K Item 1: 'Volkswagen| 10 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersemiconductor chips
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on single or limited sources of supply for certain components used in the manufacture of its products including semiconductor chips'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
9.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Fcf Quality
1.8
Net Margin
2.1
Roa
2.7
Roe
3.6
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 23% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5CEO activity: Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 111d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
21 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.89Resistance $91.06

Price Targets

$68
$95
A.Upside+31.8%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-5.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -5.5%), High leverage (D/E 2.8)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (111d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.42: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 21, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $67.79. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VC stock price target?

Analyst target: $95.44 (+31.8% upside). Prior stop was $67.79. Stop-loss: $67.79.

What are the risks of investing in VC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips; Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-5.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -5.5%), High leverage (D/E 2.8).

Is VC overvalued or undervalued?

Visteon Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VC?

20 analysts cover VC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Visteon Corporation do?Visteon Corporation designs and manufactures automotive electronics—digital instrument clusters, information displays,...

Visteon Corporation designs and manufactures automotive electronics—digital instrument clusters, information displays, infotainment systems, cockpit domain controllers, and battery management systems—for global vehicle OEMs. In 2025, Ford represented 26% of net sales, General Motors 12%, and Volkswagen 10%, with approximately 10,500 employees operating across 17 countries.

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