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Unum Group (UNM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.10 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Unum Group is a leading provider of employee benefits insurance in the US and UK, offering disability, life, accident, critical illness, dental, and vision products marketed primarily through the workplace. Premium income is split approximately 65% from Unum US, 17% from... Read more

$81.10+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 15 Insurance - Life
Stop $78.03Target $81.31(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$93.46+15.2%13 analysts
$81.31our TP
$81.10price
$93.46mean
$113

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.10 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.21bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$55-32.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.50Resistance $81.89

Price Targets

$78
$81
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.10 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $78.03. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.31 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $78.03. Stop-loss: $78.03.

What are the risks of investing in UNM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is UNM overvalued or undervalued?

Unum Group trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNM?

18 analysts cover UNM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $93.

What does Unum Group do?Unum Group is a leading provider of employee benefits insurance in the US and UK, offering disability, life, accident,...

Unum Group is a leading provider of employee benefits insurance in the US and UK, offering disability, life, accident, critical illness, dental, and vision products marketed primarily through the workplace. Premium income is split approximately 65% from Unum US, 17% from Colonial Life, 10% from Unum International (UK/Poland), and 8% from the Closed Block; the company operates in the US, UK, and Poland.

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